Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.10
Qarabag vs Araz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:15 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Qarabag v Araz in the Premyer Liqa, played at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. In the table, Qarabag are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Araz are 12th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Qarabag, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sumqayıt, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Araz, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sabah FA, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Qarabag, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Araz.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Qarabag 6–0 Araz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qarabag 1.8 xG, Araz 0.4 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qarabag 73%, draw 16%, Araz 11%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qarabag 1–0 Araz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qarabag73%fair 1.37 · @1.18
Draw16%fair 6.40 · @6.00
Araz11%fair 9.00 · @12.00
2.20Expected goals
1.77Qarabag xG
0.43Araz xG
46%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–017%
0–011%
3–010%
1–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Qarabag 1.8 – 0.4 Araz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Qarabag vs Araz?
On our numbers Qarabag have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Araz 11%.
How many goals will there be in Qarabag vs Araz?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qarabag vs Araz?
Our predicted score is Qarabag 1–0 Araz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Qarabag vs Araz?
Qarabag vs Araz (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
