Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTuran to win ✓62% · @1.65
Double chanceTuran or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 13.23
Turan vs Sumqayıt: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sumqayıt travel to face Turan on Sunday 6 September in the Premyer Liqa – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Turan are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Sumqayıt are 9th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Turan, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kapaz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sumqayıt, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Qarabag, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Turan, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Sumqayıt.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Turan 1.4 xG, Sumqayıt 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Turan 62%, draw 24%, Sumqayıt 15%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Turan 1–0 Sumqayıt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Turan62%fair 1.62 · @1.65
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Sumqayıt15%fair 6.89 · @4.75
1.96Expected goals
1.45Turan xG
0.51Sumqayıt xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Turan 1.4 – 0.5 Sumqayıt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Turan to win✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Double chance
Turan or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.00
Draw no bet
Turan (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Turan -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.08
First team to score
Turan to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Turan / FT Turan✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
13.23
–
Recent results
Turan – last 6
LDWLWL
30 Aug
@ Kapaz
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs Şamaxı FK
0–0
D
14 Aug
vs Qabala
1–0
W
22 May
vs Sabah FA
1–2
L
10 May
vs Karvan
1–0
W
4 May
@ Qarabag
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sumqayıt – last 6
LLLLWL
31 Aug
vs Qarabag
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Neftchi Baku
1–3
L
22 May
vs Qarabag
3–4
L
17 May
@ Zira
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Qabala
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Neftchi Baku
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Turan and Sumqayıt.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Turan vs Sumqayıt?
On our numbers Turan have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sumqayıt 15%.
How many goals will there be in Turan vs Sumqayıt?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Turan vs Sumqayıt?
Our predicted score is Turan 1–0 Sumqayıt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Turan vs Sumqayıt?
Turan vs Sumqayıt (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
