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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kapaz v Qabala: numbers & prediction

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaidjan · Ganja City Stadium

Kapaz

LWLLW
1–0
FT

Qabala

WDLLW
Kapaz 34%Draw 24%Qabala 42% Expected goals 0.85 – 1.01
76%
Betarazi pick

Either team to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultQabala to win ✗42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.38

Kapaz vs Qabala: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kapaz welcome Qabala to Ganja City Stadium for a Premyer Liqa fixture on Saturday 12 September (14:30 WAT). In the table, Kapaz are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Qabala are 10th (in the drop zone) with 8.

Current form

Kapaz, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Şamaxı FK, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Qabala, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Imisli FK, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Qabala, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Kapaz.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Kapaz 0–2 Qabala.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kapaz 0.9 xG, Qabala 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kapaz 34%, draw 24%, Qabala 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Either team to win (76%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kapaz 0–1 Qabala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kapaz34%fair 2.98 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.88
Qabala42%fair 2.38 · @2.50
1.86Expected goals
0.85Kapaz xG
1.01Qabala xG
42%Both score
29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–016%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%

From our goals model: Kapaz 0.9 – 1.0 Qabala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQabala to win ✗42%2.382.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.32–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓58%1.73–
Draw no betQabala (draw no bet) ✗56%1.80–
Asian handicapKapaz +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗55%1.80–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreQabala to score first ✗46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.38–

Recent results

Kapaz – last 6

LWLLWL
4 Sepvs Şamaxı FK1–4L
30 Augvs Turan1–0W
15 Aug@ Sabah FA0–2L
23 Mayvs Neftchi Baku0–1L
8 May@ Sabah FA1–0W
26 Apr@ Şamaxı FK0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Qabala – last 6

WDLLWW
4 Sepvs Imisli FK2–1W
29 Augvs Şamaxı FK0–0D
22 Augvs Safa Baku0–1L
14 Aug@ Turan0–1L
28 Mayvs Mingəçevir2–0W
21 Mayvs Şamaxı FK3–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Kapaz v Qabala0–2
Kapaz vs Qabala head-to-head page →

Premyer Liqa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Baku11731+1524
2Turan11632+421
3Sabah FA10631+1621
4Qarabag10541+619
5Zira11542+119
6Kapaz10523017
7Şamaxı FK11353+114
8Imisli FK11326-611
9Sumqayıt10244-110
10Qabala11227-128
11Safa Baku11128-125
12Araz11047-124

More Premyer Liqa predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kapaz vs Qabala?

Our pick is Either team to win with a 76% chance.

Who will win Kapaz vs Qabala?

On our numbers Kapaz have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Qabala 42%.

How many goals will there be in Kapaz vs Qabala?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kapaz vs Qabala?

Our predicted score is Kapaz 0–1 Qabala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Kapaz vs Qabala?

Kapaz vs Qabala (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Ganja City Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.