Qabala 13%Draw 20%Neftchi Baku 67%Expected goals 0.70 – 1.90
67%
Betarazi pick
Neftchi Baku to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultNeftchi Baku to win ✓67% · @1.50
Double chanceNeftchi Baku or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.07
Qabala vs Neftchi Baku: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Friday 18 September: Qabala v Neftchi Baku in the Premyer Liqa. In the table, Qabala are 10th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; Neftchi Baku are 1st (leading the league) with 24. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Qabala, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kapaz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Neftchi Baku, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Imisli FK, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Neftchi Baku, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Qabala.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Qabala 1–3 Neftchi Baku.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qabala 0.7 xG, Neftchi Baku 1.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qabala 13%, draw 20%, Neftchi Baku 67%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Neftchi Baku to win (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qabala 0–1 Neftchi Baku. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qabala13%fair 7.49 · @6.00
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Neftchi Baku67%fair 1.50 · @1.50
2.60Expected goals
0.70Qabala xG
1.90Neftchi Baku xG
46%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–07%
From our goals model: Qabala 0.7 – 1.9 Neftchi Baku expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Qabala vs Neftchi Baku?
Our pick is Neftchi Baku to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Qabala vs Neftchi Baku?
On our numbers Qabala have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Neftchi Baku 67%.
How many goals will there be in Qabala vs Neftchi Baku?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qabala vs Neftchi Baku?
Our predicted score is Qabala 0–1 Neftchi Baku, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Qabala vs Neftchi Baku?
Qabala vs Neftchi Baku (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
