Kapaz vs Sumqayıt: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kapaz welcome Sumqayıt to Ganja City Stadium for a Premyer Liqa fixture on Sunday 20 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, Kapaz are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Sumqayıt are 9th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Kapaz, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Qabala, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sumqayıt, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Şamaxı FK, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kapaz, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Sumqayıt.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Kapaz 3–0 Sumqayıt.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kapaz 1.2 xG, Sumqayıt 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kapaz 39%, draw 24%, Sumqayıt 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kapaz 1–1 Sumqayıt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kapaz39%fair 2.56 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Sumqayıt37%fair 2.72 · @2.45
2.38Expected goals
1.21Kapaz xG
1.17Sumqayıt xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Kapaz 1.2 – 1.2 Sumqayıt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?
On our numbers Kapaz have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sumqayıt 37%.
How many goals will there be in Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?
Our predicted score is Kapaz 1–1 Sumqayıt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?
Kapaz vs Sumqayıt (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ganja City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.