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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kapaz v Sumqayıt: numbers & prediction

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaidjan · Ganja City Stadium

Kapaz

WLWLL
1–1
FT
Kapaz 39%Draw 24%Sumqayıt 37% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.17
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultKapaz to win ✗39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.58

Kapaz vs Sumqayıt: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kapaz welcome Sumqayıt to Ganja City Stadium for a Premyer Liqa fixture on Sunday 20 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, Kapaz are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Sumqayıt are 9th (lower half) with 10.

Current form

Kapaz, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Qabala, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sumqayıt, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Şamaxı FK, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kapaz, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Sumqayıt.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Kapaz 3–0 Sumqayıt.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kapaz 1.2 xG, Sumqayıt 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kapaz 39%, draw 24%, Sumqayıt 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kapaz 1–1 Sumqayıt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kapaz39%fair 2.56 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Sumqayıt37%fair 2.72 · @2.45
2.38Expected goals
1.21Kapaz xG
1.17Sumqayıt xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Kapaz 1.2 – 1.2 Sumqayıt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKapaz to win ✗39%2.562.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.801.80
Draw no betKapaz (draw no bet)52%1.94–
Asian handicapSumqayıt +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.74–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreKapaz to score first ✗46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kapaz / FT Kapaz ✗21%4.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.58–

Recent results

Kapaz – last 6

WLWLLW
12 Sepvs Qabala1–0W
4 Sepvs Şamaxı FK1–4L
30 Augvs Turan1–0W
15 Aug@ Sabah FA0–2L
23 Mayvs Neftchi Baku0–1L
8 May@ Sabah FA1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sumqayıt – last 6

DLLLLL
12 Sepvs Şamaxı FK1–1D
6 Sep@ Turan1–2L
31 Augvs Qarabag0–1L
16 Augvs Neftchi Baku1–3L
22 Mayvs Qarabag3–4L
17 May@ Zira1–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Feb 2026Kapaz v Sumqayıt3–0
Kapaz vs Sumqayıt head-to-head page →

Premyer Liqa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Baku11731+1524
2Turan11632+421
3Sabah FA10631+1621
4Qarabag10541+619
5Zira11542+119
6Kapaz10523017
7Şamaxı FK11353+114
8Imisli FK11326-611
9Sumqayıt10244-110
10Qabala11227-128
11Safa Baku11128-125
12Araz11047-124

More Premyer Liqa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?

On our numbers Kapaz have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sumqayıt 37%.

How many goals will there be in Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?

Our predicted score is Kapaz 1–1 Sumqayıt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?

Kapaz vs Sumqayıt (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ganja City Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.