Şamaxı FK 55%Draw 24%Araz 21%Expected goals 1.67 – 0.93
79%
Betarazi pick
Şamaxı FK or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultŞamaxı FK to win ✓55% · @1.91
Double chanceŞamaxı FK or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.38
Şamaxı FK vs Araz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Araz travel to face Şamaxı FK on Sunday 20 September in the Premyer Liqa, with Shamakhi City Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Şamaxı FK are 7th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Araz are 12th (in the drop zone) with 4.
Current form
Şamaxı FK, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sumqayıt, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Araz, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Turan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Keshla FC 0–1 Araz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Şamaxı FK 1.7 xG, Araz 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Şamaxı FK 55%, draw 24%, Araz 21%.
Lower-risk option: Şamaxı FK or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Şamaxı FK or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Şamaxı FK 1–0 Araz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Şamaxı FK55%fair 1.83 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Araz21%fair 4.80 · @3.90
2.60Expected goals
1.67Şamaxı FK xG
0.93Araz xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Şamaxı FK 1.7 – 0.9 Araz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Şamaxı FK or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Şamaxı FK vs Araz?
On our numbers Şamaxı FK have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Araz 21%.
How many goals will there be in Şamaxı FK vs Araz?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şamaxı FK vs Araz?
Our predicted score is Şamaxı FK 1–0 Araz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Şamaxı FK vs Araz?
Şamaxı FK vs Araz (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Shamakhi City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
