Kapaz travel to face Araz on Friday 9 October in the Premyer Liqa, with Shamakhi City Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Araz are 12th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 11 matches; Kapaz are 6th (upper half) with 17. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Araz, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Şamaxı FK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Kapaz, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sumqayıt, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Kapaz, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Araz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Araz 1.4 xG, Kapaz 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Araz 43%, draw 23%, Kapaz 34%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Araz 1–1 Kapaz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Araz43%fair 2.30 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Kapaz34%fair 2.96 · @3.00
2.64Expected goals
1.42Araz xG
1.22Kapaz xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Araz 1.4 – 1.2 Kapaz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Araz to win✗
43%
2.30
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.75
Draw no bet
Araz (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Kapaz +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Araz to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Araz / FT Araz✗
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.36
–
Recent results
Araz – last 6
LDLLLD
20 Sep
@ Şamaxı FK
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Turan
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Qarabag
2–3
L
31 Aug
vs Sabah FA
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Neftchi Baku
0–5
L
15 Aug
vs Imisli FK
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kapaz – last 6
DWLWLL
20 Sep
vs Sumqayıt
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Qabala
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Şamaxı FK
1–4
L
30 Aug
vs Turan
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Sabah FA
0–2
L
23 May
vs Neftchi Baku
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Araz and Kapaz.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Araz vs Kapaz?
On our numbers Araz have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kapaz 34%.
How many goals will there be in Araz vs Kapaz?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Araz vs Kapaz?
Our predicted score is Araz 1–1 Kapaz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Araz vs Kapaz?
Araz vs Kapaz (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Shamakhi City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
