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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Neftchi Baku v Sabah FA: numbers & prediction

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaidjan · Palms Sports Arena
0–0
FT
Neftchi Baku 34%Draw 23%Sabah FA 43% Expected goals 1.61 – 1.84
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultSabah FA to win ✗43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58

Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 9 October the Premyer Liqa brings Neftchi Baku against Sabah FA at Palms Sports Arena. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Neftchi Baku are 1st, leading the league, on 24 points after 11 matches; Sabah FA are 3rd (among the top four) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Neftchi Baku, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Qabala, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.

Sabah FA, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Imisli FK, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Sabah FA 1–2 Neftchi Baku.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Neftchi Baku 1.6 xG, Sabah FA 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Neftchi Baku 34%, draw 23%, Sabah FA 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neftchi Baku 1–1 Sabah FA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Neftchi Baku34%fair 2.95 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
Sabah FA43%fair 2.33 · @2.40
3.45Expected goals
1.61Neftchi Baku xG
1.84Sabah FA xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–25%

From our goals model: Neftchi Baku 1.6 – 1.8 Sabah FA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSabah FA to win ✗43%2.332.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.561.62
Draw no betSabah FA (draw no bet)56%1.79–
Asian handicapNeftchi Baku +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.83–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
First team to scoreSabah FA to score first ✗52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓36%2.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sabah FA / FT Sabah FA ✗26%3.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.58–

Recent results

Neftchi Baku – last 6

WWWLWW
18 Sep@ Qabala3–0W
11 Sep@ Imisli FK3–2W
5 Sepvs Safa Baku4–1W
30 Aug@ Zira0–1L
23 Augvs Araz5–0W
16 Aug@ Sumqayıt3–1W
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Sabah FA – last 6

WWLWWW
19 Sepvs Imisli FK3–1W
14 Sep@ Safa Baku3–0W
10 Sep@ Manchester United0–4L
5 Sepvs Zira5–0W
31 Aug@ Araz1–0W
25 Augvs Hapoel Beer Sheva3–2W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Sabah FA v Neftchi Baku1–2
Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA head-to-head page →

Premyer Liqa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Baku11731+1524
2Turan11632+421
3Sabah FA10631+1621
4Qarabag10541+619
5Zira11542+119
6Kapaz10523017
7Şamaxı FK11353+114
8Imisli FK11326-611
9Sumqayıt10244-110
10Qabala11227-128
11Safa Baku11128-125
12Araz11047-124

More Premyer Liqa predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA?

On our numbers Neftchi Baku have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sabah FA 43%.

How many goals will there be in Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA?

Our predicted score is Neftchi Baku 1–1 Sabah FA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA?

Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Palms Sports Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.