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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Imisli FK v Qarabag: numbers & prediction

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaidjan · Yevlakh City Stadium
0–2
FT

Qarabag

WDWWL
Imisli FK 12%Draw 17%Qarabag 71% Expected goals 0.67 – 2.06
50%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.99 · bookmaker 2.25 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultQarabag to win ✓71% · @1.18
Double chanceQarabag or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77

Imisli FK vs Qarabag: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Imisli FK v Qarabag in the Premyer Liqa, played at Yevlakh City Stadium. In the table, Imisli FK are 8th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Qarabag are 4th (among the top four) with 19.

Current form

Imisli FK, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Sabah FA, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Qarabag, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Safa Baku, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Qarabag, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Imisli FK.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Feb 2026) it ended Mil-Muğan 0–1 Qarabag.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Imisli FK 0.7 xG, Qarabag 2.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Imisli FK 12%, draw 17%, Qarabag 71%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.25.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.25 – longer than our fair 1.99, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Imisli FK 1–2 Qarabag. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Imisli FK12%fair 8.26 · @15.00
Draw17%fair 5.87 · @5.80
Qarabag71%fair 1.41 · @1.18
2.73Expected goals
0.67Imisli FK xG
2.06Qarabag xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–214%
0–113%
0–39%
1–29%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Imisli FK 0.7 – 2.1 Qarabag expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQarabag to win ✓71%1.411.18
Double chanceQarabag or draw ✓88%1.141.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.25 ▲
Draw no betQarabag (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapQarabag -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.95–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreQarabag to score first ✓70%1.42–
Half-time resultQarabag ahead at half-time ✗50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Qarabag / FT Qarabag ✗46%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.77–

Recent results

Imisli FK – last 6

LLLWLD
19 Sep@ Sabah FA1–3L
11 Sepvs Neftchi Baku2–3L
4 Sep@ Qabala1–2L
29 Aug@ Safa Baku1–0W
22 Aug@ Zira1–3L
15 Aug@ Araz0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Qarabag – last 6

WDWWLW
18 Sepvs Safa Baku1–0W
13 Sep@ Zira1–1D
6 Sepvs Araz3–2W
31 Aug@ Sumqayıt1–0W
27 Augvs Twente1–2L
20 Aug@ Twente1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Feb 2026Mil-Muğan v Qarabag0–1
Imisli FK vs Qarabag head-to-head page →

Premyer Liqa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Baku11731+1524
2Turan11632+421
3Sabah FA10631+1621
4Qarabag10541+619
5Zira11542+119
6Kapaz10523017
7Şamaxı FK11353+114
8Imisli FK11326-611
9Sumqayıt10244-110
10Qabala11227-128
11Safa Baku11128-125
12Araz11047-124

More Premyer Liqa predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Imisli FK vs Qarabag?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.

Who will win Imisli FK vs Qarabag?

On our numbers Imisli FK have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Qarabag 71%.

How many goals will there be in Imisli FK vs Qarabag?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Imisli FK vs Qarabag?

Our predicted score is Imisli FK 1–2 Qarabag, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Imisli FK vs Qarabag?

Imisli FK vs Qarabag (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Yevlakh City Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.