Imisli FK vs Qarabag: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Imisli FK v Qarabag in the Premyer Liqa, played at Yevlakh City Stadium. In the table, Imisli FK are 8th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Qarabag are 4th (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Imisli FK, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Sabah FA, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Qarabag, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Safa Baku, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Qarabag, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Imisli FK.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Feb 2026) it ended Mil-Muğan 0–1 Qarabag.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Imisli FK 0.7 xG, Qarabag 2.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Imisli FK 12%, draw 17%, Qarabag 71%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.25 – longer than our fair 1.99, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Imisli FK 1–2 Qarabag. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Imisli FK12%fair 8.26 · @15.00
Draw17%fair 5.87 · @5.80
Qarabag71%fair 1.41 · @1.18
2.73Expected goals
0.67Imisli FK xG
2.06Qarabag xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–214%
0–113%
0–39%
1–29%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Imisli FK 0.7 – 2.1 Qarabag expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.
Who will win Imisli FK vs Qarabag?
On our numbers Imisli FK have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Qarabag 71%.
How many goals will there be in Imisli FK vs Qarabag?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Imisli FK vs Qarabag?
Our predicted score is Imisli FK 1–2 Qarabag, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Imisli FK vs Qarabag?
Imisli FK vs Qarabag (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Yevlakh City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.