Safa Baku 16%Draw 20%Turan 64%Expected goals 0.49 – 1.43
64%
Betarazi pick
Turan to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultTuran to win ✓64% · @1.44
Double chanceTuran or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓21% · fair 4.76
Safa Baku vs Turan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Safa Baku v Turan in the Premyer Liqa, played at ASK Arena. In the table, Safa Baku are 11th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 11 matches; Turan are 2nd (among the top four) with 21. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Safa Baku, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Qarabag, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Turan, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fenerbahçe, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Turan, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Safa Baku.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Safa Baku 0.5 xG, Turan 1.4 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Safa Baku 16%, draw 20%, Turan 64%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Turan to win (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Safa Baku 0–1 Turan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Safa Baku16%fair 6.24 · @6.00
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.80
Turan64%fair 1.56 · @1.44
1.92Expected goals
0.49Safa Baku xG
1.43Turan xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–121%
0–215%
0–015%
1–110%
1–27%
0–37%
From our goals model: Safa Baku 0.5 – 1.4 Turan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Turan to win✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Double chance
Turan or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.75
Draw no bet
Turan (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Turan -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Turan to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Turan / FT Turan✓
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
21%
4.76
–
Recent results
Safa Baku – last 6
LLLLWL
18 Sep
@ Qarabag
0–1
L
14 Sep
vs Sabah FA
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Neftchi Baku
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Imisli FK
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Qabala
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Zira
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Turan – last 6
LWDWLD
3 Oct
vs Fenerbahçe
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Zira
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Araz
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Sumqayıt
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Kapaz
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs Şamaxı FK
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Safa Baku and Turan.
Our pick is Turan to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Safa Baku vs Turan?
On our numbers Safa Baku have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Turan 64%.
How many goals will there be in Safa Baku vs Turan?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Safa Baku vs Turan?
Our predicted score is Safa Baku 0–1 Turan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Safa Baku vs Turan?
Safa Baku vs Turan (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at ASK Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
