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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sumqayıt v Qabala: numbers & prediction

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaidjan · Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium
4–1
FT

Qabala

LLWDL
Sumqayıt 43%Draw 25%Qabala 33% Expected goals 1.05 – 0.86
51%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultSumqayıt to win ✓43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.44

Sumqayıt vs Qabala: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 10 October the Premyer Liqa brings Sumqayıt against Qabala at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Sumqayıt are 9th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Qabala are 10th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sumqayıt, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kapaz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Qabala, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Neftchi Baku, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Sumqayıt 1–0 Qabala. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sumqayıt 1 win, Qabala 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sumqayıt 1.0 xG, Qabala 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sumqayıt 43%, draw 25%, Qabala 33%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sumqayıt 1–0 Qabala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sumqayıt43%fair 2.35 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
Qabala33%fair 3.07 · @2.90
1.91Expected goals
1.05Sumqayıt xG
0.86Qabala xG
49%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Sumqayıt 1.0 – 0.9 Qabala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSumqayıt to win ✓43%2.352.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.941.85
Draw no betSumqayıt (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapQabala +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓57%1.76–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗96%1.05–
First team to scoreSumqayıt to score first47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗23%4.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.44–

Recent results

Sumqayıt – last 6

DDLLLL
20 Sep@ Kapaz1–1D
12 Sepvs Şamaxı FK1–1D
6 Sep@ Turan1–2L
31 Augvs Qarabag0–1L
16 Augvs Neftchi Baku1–3L
22 Mayvs Qarabag3–4L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Qabala – last 6

LLWDLL
18 Sepvs Neftchi Baku0–3L
12 Sep@ Kapaz0–1L
4 Sepvs Imisli FK2–1W
29 Augvs Şamaxı FK0–0D
22 Augvs Safa Baku0–1L
14 Aug@ Turan0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Sumqayıt v Qabala1–0
20 Feb 2026Sumqayıt v Qabala0–0
Sumqayıt vs Qabala head-to-head page →

Premyer Liqa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Baku11731+1524
2Turan11632+421
3Sabah FA10631+1621
4Qarabag10541+619
5Zira11542+119
6Kapaz10523017
7Şamaxı FK11353+114
8Imisli FK11326-611
9Sumqayıt10244-110
10Qabala11227-128
11Safa Baku11128-125
12Araz11047-124

More Premyer Liqa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sumqayıt vs Qabala?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Sumqayıt vs Qabala?

On our numbers Sumqayıt have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Qabala 33%.

How many goals will there be in Sumqayıt vs Qabala?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sumqayıt vs Qabala?

Our predicted score is Sumqayıt 1–0 Qabala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Sumqayıt vs Qabala?

Sumqayıt vs Qabala (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.