Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.44
Sumqayıt vs Qabala: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Premyer Liqa brings Sumqayıt against Qabala at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Sumqayıt are 9th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Qabala are 10th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sumqayıt, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kapaz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Qabala, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Neftchi Baku, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Sumqayıt 1–0 Qabala. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sumqayıt 1 win, Qabala 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sumqayıt 1.0 xG, Qabala 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sumqayıt 43%, draw 25%, Qabala 33%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sumqayıt 1–0 Qabala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sumqayıt43%fair 2.35 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
Qabala33%fair 3.07 · @2.90
1.91Expected goals
1.05Sumqayıt xG
0.86Qabala xG
49%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sumqayıt 1.0 – 0.9 Qabala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
On our numbers Sumqayıt have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Qabala 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
Our predicted score is Sumqayıt 1–0 Qabala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
Sumqayıt vs Qabala (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.