Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultZira to win ✗58% · @1.75
Double chanceZira or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72
Zira vs Şamaxı FK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Şamaxı FK travel to face Zira on Saturday 10 October in the Premyer Liqa, with Zira Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Zira are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Şamaxı FK are 7th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Zira, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Turan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Şamaxı FK, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Araz, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Apr 2026) it ended Zira 1–1 Şamaxı FK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zira 1.6 xG, Şamaxı FK 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zira 58%, draw 24%, Şamaxı FK 19%.
Lower-risk option: Zira or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Zira to win (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zira 1–0 Şamaxı FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zira58%fair 1.73 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.20
Şamaxı FK19%fair 5.39 · @4.40
2.42Expected goals
1.63Zira xG
0.79Şamaxı FK xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Zira 1.6 – 0.8 Şamaxı FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Zira to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Zira vs Şamaxı FK?
On our numbers Zira have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Şamaxı FK 19%.
How many goals will there be in Zira vs Şamaxı FK?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zira vs Şamaxı FK?
Our predicted score is Zira 1–0 Şamaxı FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Zira vs Şamaxı FK?
Zira vs Şamaxı FK (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Zira Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
