Sumqayıt 45%Draw 23%Araz 32%Expected goals 1.58 – 1.27
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultSumqayıt to win ✓45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.92
Sumqayıt vs Araz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 16 October the Premyer Liqa brings Sumqayıt against Araz at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Sumqayıt are 9th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Araz are 12th (in the drop zone) with 4.
Current form
Sumqayıt, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Qabala, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Araz, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kapaz, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sumqayıt, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Araz.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Araz 1–0 Sumqayıt.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sumqayıt 1.6 xG, Araz 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sumqayıt 45%, draw 23%, Araz 32%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sumqayıt 1–1 Araz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sumqayıt45%fair 2.21 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Araz32%fair 3.17 · @3.00
2.85Expected goals
1.58Sumqayıt xG
1.27Araz xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sumqayıt 1.6 – 1.3 Araz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Sumqayıt vs Araz?
On our numbers Sumqayıt have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Araz 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sumqayıt vs Araz?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sumqayıt vs Araz?
Our predicted score is Sumqayıt 1–1 Araz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sumqayıt vs Araz?
Sumqayıt vs Araz (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
