Qabala travel to face Araz on Friday 23 October in the Premyer Liqa, with Shamakhi City Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Araz are 12th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 11 matches; Qabala are 10th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Araz, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sumqayıt, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Qabala, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Sabah FA, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Qabala, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Araz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Araz 1.3 xG, Qabala 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Araz 38%, draw 23%, Qabala 39%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Araz 1–1 Qabala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Araz38%fair 2.62 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Qabala39%fair 2.59 · @2.60
2.56Expected goals
1.27Araz xG
1.29Qabala xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Araz 1.3 – 1.3 Qabala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qabala to win✓
39%
2.59
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Draw no bet
Qabala (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Araz +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Qabala to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qabala / FT Qabala✗
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.29
–
Recent results
Araz – last 6
LLLDLL
16 Oct
@ Sumqayıt
1–2
L
9 Oct
vs Kapaz
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Şamaxı FK
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Turan
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Qarabag
2–3
L
31 Aug
vs Sabah FA
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Qabala – last 6
LLLLWD
17 Oct
vs Sabah FA
0–4
L
10 Oct
@ Sumqayıt
1–4
L
18 Sep
vs Neftchi Baku
0–3
L
12 Sep
@ Kapaz
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs Imisli FK
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Şamaxı FK
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Araz and Qabala.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Araz vs Qabala?
On our numbers Araz have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Qabala 39%.
How many goals will there be in Araz vs Qabala?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Araz vs Qabala?
Our predicted score is Araz 1–1 Qabala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Araz vs Qabala?
Araz vs Qabala (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Shamakhi City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
