Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultZira to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceZira or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.36
Zira vs Sumqayıt: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sumqayıt travel to face Zira on Friday 23 October in the Premyer Liqa, with Zira Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Zira are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Sumqayıt are 9th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Zira, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kapaz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Sumqayıt, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Araz, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Zira 2–1 Sumqayıt. The last 2 head-to-heads: Zira 2 wins, Sumqayıt 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zira 1.8 xG, Sumqayıt 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zira 61%, draw 26%, Sumqayıt 14%.
Lower-risk option: Zira or draw (86%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Zira to win (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zira 1–0 Sumqayıt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zira61%fair 1.65 · @1.70
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.25
Sumqayıt14%fair 7.40 · @4.75
2.60Expected goals
1.83Zira xG
0.77Sumqayıt xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Zira 1.8 – 0.8 Sumqayıt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Zira to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Zira vs Sumqayıt?
On our numbers Zira have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sumqayıt 14%.
How many goals will there be in Zira vs Sumqayıt?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zira vs Sumqayıt?
Our predicted score is Zira 1–0 Sumqayıt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Zira vs Sumqayıt?
Zira vs Sumqayıt (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Zira Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
