Neftchi Baku 59%Draw 22%Turan 19%Expected goals 1.72 – 0.84
59%
Betarazi pick
Neftchi Baku to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultNeftchi Baku to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chanceNeftchi Baku or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Neftchi Baku vs Turan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Turan travel to face Neftchi Baku on Saturday 24 October in the Premyer Liqa, with Palms Sports Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Neftchi Baku are 1st, leading the league, on 24 points after 11 matches; Turan are 2nd (among the top four) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Neftchi Baku, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Qarabag, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Turan, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Imisli FK, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Mar 2026) it ended Neftchi Baku 0–1 Turan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Neftchi Baku 1.7 xG, Turan 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Neftchi Baku 59%, draw 22%, Turan 19%.
Lower-risk option: Neftchi Baku or draw (81%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Neftchi Baku to win (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neftchi Baku 1–0 Turan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Neftchi Baku59%fair 1.70 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.30
Turan19%fair 5.29 · @4.80
2.56Expected goals
1.72Neftchi Baku xG
0.84Turan xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Neftchi Baku 1.7 – 0.8 Turan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Neftchi Baku to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Neftchi Baku vs Turan?
On our numbers Neftchi Baku have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Turan 19%.
How many goals will there be in Neftchi Baku vs Turan?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neftchi Baku vs Turan?
Our predicted score is Neftchi Baku 1–0 Turan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Neftchi Baku vs Turan?
Neftchi Baku vs Turan (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Palms Sports Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
