Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Neftchi Baku welcome Kapaz to Palms Sports Arena for a Premyer Liqa fixture on Friday 6 November (17:00 WAT). In the table, Neftchi Baku are 1st, leading the league, on 24 points after 11 matches; Kapaz are 6th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Neftchi Baku, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Şamaxı FK, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Kapaz, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Imisli FK, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Kapaz 0–1 Neftchi Baku. The last 2 head-to-heads: Neftchi Baku 2 wins, Kapaz 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Neftchi Baku 2.2 xG, Kapaz 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Neftchi Baku 71%, draw 18%, Kapaz 11%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.84.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Neftchi Baku to win (71%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neftchi Baku 2–0 Kapaz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Neftchi Baku71%fair 1.42 · @1.34
Draw18%fair 5.48 · @4.25
Kapaz11%fair 8.97 · @7.10
2.91Expected goals
2.18Neftchi Baku xG
0.73Kapaz xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Neftchi Baku 2.2 – 0.7 Kapaz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Neftchi Baku to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz?
On our numbers Neftchi Baku have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Kapaz 11%.
How many goals will there be in Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz?
Our predicted score is Neftchi Baku 2–0 Kapaz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz?
Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Palms Sports Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
