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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Qarabag v Turan: numbers & prediction

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaidjan · Tofiq Bahramov Stadium

Qarabag

DDDWW
0–1
FT

Turan

WDLWL
Qarabag 63%Draw 23%Turan 15% Expected goals 1.74 – 0.69
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.32 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.32Odds

Picks by market

ResultQarabag to win ✗63% · @1.65
Double chanceQarabag or draw ✗85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90

Qarabag vs Turan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Turan travel to face Qarabag on Friday 6 November in the Premyer Liqa, with Tofiq Bahramov Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Qarabag are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Turan are 2nd (among the top four) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Qarabag, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Qabala, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Turan, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Sabah FA, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Qarabag 2–1 Turan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Qarabag 1.7 xG, Turan 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Qarabag 63%, draw 23%, Turan 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.72.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qarabag 1–0 Turan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Qarabag63%fair 1.59 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.44
Turan15%fair 6.89 · @4.45
2.42Expected goals
1.74Qarabag xG
0.69Turan xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%

From our goals model: Qarabag 1.7 – 0.7 Turan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQarabag to win ✗63%1.591.65
Double chanceQarabag or draw ✗85%1.171.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.941.72
Draw no betQarabag (draw no bet) ✗81%1.23–
Asian handicapQarabag -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.391.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.89
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.32
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.08
First team to scoreQarabag to score first ✗65%1.53–
Half-time resultQarabag ahead at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Qarabag / FT Qarabag ✗39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.90–

Recent results

Qarabag – last 6

DDDWWD
31 Oct@ Qabala0–0D
25 Oct@ Sabah FA0–0D
17 Octvs Neftchi Baku3–3D
11 Oct@ Imisli FK2–0W
18 Sepvs Safa Baku1–0W
13 Sep@ Zira1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Turan – last 6

WDLWLW
30 Octvs Sabah FA3–2W
24 Oct@ Neftchi Baku1–1D
18 Oct@ Imisli FK0–1L
11 Oct@ Safa Baku1–0W
3 Octvs Fenerbahçe0–2L
19 Sepvs Zira1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 May 2026Qarabag v Turan2–1
Qarabag vs Turan head-to-head page →

Premyer Liqa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Baku11731+1524
2Turan11632+421
3Sabah FA10631+1621
4Qarabag10541+619
5Zira11542+119
6Kapaz10523017
7Şamaxı FK11353+114
8Imisli FK11326-611
9Sumqayıt10244-110
10Qabala11227-128
11Safa Baku11128-125
12Araz11047-124

More Premyer Liqa predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Qarabag vs Turan?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win Qarabag vs Turan?

On our numbers Qarabag have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Turan 15%.

How many goals will there be in Qarabag vs Turan?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Qarabag vs Turan?

Our predicted score is Qarabag 1–0 Turan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Qarabag vs Turan?

Qarabag vs Turan (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.