Value bet: Sporting Gijón II to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSporting Gijón II to win ✓43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.13
Sporting Gijón II vs Marino de Luanco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 1 August the Friendlies Clubs brings Sporting Gijón II against Marino de Luanco. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Sporting Gijón II, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Caudal, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Marino de Luanco, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Avilés, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Marino de Luanco, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Sporting Gijón II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Gijón II 1.4 xG, Marino de Luanco 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Gijón II 43%, draw 27%, Marino de Luanco 30%.
Price worth noting: Sporting Gijón II to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Gijón II 1–1 Marino de Luanco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Gijón II43%fair 2.31 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @2.85
Marino de Luanco30%fair 3.36 · @2.70
2.42Expected goals
1.38Sporting Gijón II xG
1.04Marino de Luanco xG
45%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sporting Gijón II 1.4 – 1.0 Marino de Luanco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sporting Gijón II
Marino de Luanco
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+3%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.65
1.15
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Gijón II to win✓
43%
2.31
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Sporting Gijón II (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Marino de Luanco +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Sporting Gijón II to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Gijón II / FT Sporting Gijón II✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.13
–
Recent results
Sporting Gijón II – last 6
DDLWWL
24 May
vs Caudal
0–0
D
17 May
@ Caudal
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Covadonga
0–5
L
19 Apr
vs Avilés Stadium
5–0
W
5 Apr
vs Real Titánico
7–0
W
22 Mar
@ Tuilla
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Marino de Luanco – last 6
WWLWWD
29 Jul
vs Real Avilés
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Sporting Gijon
2–1
W
3 May
@ Numancia
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Sámano
4–1
W
5 Apr
@ Coruxo
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs UD Ourense
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Gijón II and Marino de Luanco.
What is the prediction for Sporting Gijón II vs Marino de Luanco?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Sporting Gijón II vs Marino de Luanco?
On our numbers Sporting Gijón II have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Marino de Luanco 30%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijón II vs Marino de Luanco?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijón II vs Marino de Luanco?
Our predicted score is Sporting Gijón II 1–1 Marino de Luanco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sporting Gijón II vs Marino de Luanco?
Sporting Gijón II vs Marino de Luanco (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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