Value bet: Olimpo Bahia Blanca to win @ 3.10 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOlimpo Bahia Blanca to win ✗40% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.83
Argentino Monte Maíz vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Argentino Monte Maíz welcome Olimpo Bahia Blanca to Estadio Modesto Marrone for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 16 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Argentino Monte Maíz are 17th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st (leading the league) with 31.
Current form
Argentino Monte Maíz, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cipolletti, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Villa Mitre, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Olimpo Bahia Blanca, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Argentino Monte Maíz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Argentino Monte Maíz 0.8 xG, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0.9 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Argentino Monte Maíz 34%, draw 26%, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 40%.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Olimpo Bahia Blanca to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Argentino Monte Maíz 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Argentino Monte Maíz34%fair 2.94 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.70
Olimpo Bahia Blanca40%fair 2.50 · @3.10
1.61Expected goals
0.75Argentino Monte Maíz xG
0.86Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
43%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–020%
0–117%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Argentino Monte Maíz 0.8 – 0.9 Olimpo Bahia Blanca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olimpo Bahia Blanca to win✗
40%
2.50
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.44
Draw no bet
Olimpo Bahia Blanca (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Argentino Monte Maíz +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.73
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
1.02
First team to score
Olimpo Bahia Blanca to score first
43%
2.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.83
–
Recent results
Argentino Monte Maíz – last 6
LLLDDD
12 Aug
@ Cipolletti
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Atenas
1–2
L
3 Aug
@ Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ San Martín Mendoza
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs Atenas
0–0
D
5 Jul
@ Cipolletti
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Olimpo Bahia Blanca – last 6
WWDWWD
12 Aug
vs Villa Mitre
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Huracan Las Heras
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs Juventud Antoniana
0–0
D
26 Jul
vs Santamarina
2–0
W
12 Jul
@ Germinal de Rawson
1–0
W
5 Jul
vs Villa Mitre
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentino Monte Maíz and Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
What is the prediction for Argentino Monte Maíz vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Argentino Monte Maíz vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
On our numbers Argentino Monte Maíz have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Olimpo Bahia Blanca 40%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino Monte Maíz vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino Monte Maíz vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Our predicted score is Argentino Monte Maíz 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Argentino Monte Maíz vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Argentino Monte Maíz vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Modesto Marrone.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
