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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sol de Mayo v Germinal de Rawson: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Sol De Mayo

Sol de Mayo

LLWDL
1–0
FT

Germinal de Rawson

WDWLL
Sol de Mayo 59%Draw 25%Germinal de Rawson 15% Expected goals 1.58 – 0.66
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultSol de Mayo to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceSol de Mayo or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.97

Sol de Mayo vs Germinal de Rawson: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sol de Mayo welcome Germinal de Rawson to Estadio Sol De Mayo for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 16 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Sol de Mayo are 28th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Germinal de Rawson are 30th (lower half) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sol de Mayo, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to San Martín Mendoza, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Germinal de Rawson, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Santamarina, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Germinal de Rawson, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Sol de Mayo.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Germinal de Rawson 1–0 Sol de Mayo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sol de Mayo 1.6 xG, Germinal de Rawson 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sol de Mayo 59%, draw 25%, Germinal de Rawson 15%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sol de Mayo 1–0 Germinal de Rawson. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sol de Mayo59%fair 1.68 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.10
Germinal de Rawson15%fair 6.49 · @5.25
2.24Expected goals
1.58Sol de Mayo xG
0.66Germinal de Rawson xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Sol de Mayo 1.6 – 0.7 Germinal de Rawson expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSol de Mayo to win ✓59%1.681.67
Double chanceSol de Mayo or draw ✓85%1.181.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.73
Draw no betSol de Mayo (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapGerminal de Rawson +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.461.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.741.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.10
First team to scoreSol de Mayo to score first ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sol de Mayo / FT Sol de Mayo ✓36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17%5.97–

Recent results

Sol de Mayo – last 6

LLWDLL
13 Aug@ San Martín Mendoza1–2L
8 Augvs Deportivo Rincon2–4L
2 Augvs Santamarina1–0W
26 Julvs Villa Mitre3–3D
12 Jul@ Circulo Deportivo1–3L
5 Julvs Kimberley Mar del Plata1–2L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Germinal de Rawson – last 6

WDWLLL
12 Augvs Santamarina5–1W
8 Aug@ Costa Brava1–1D
2 Augvs Juventud Unida Univ.2–1W
26 Jul@ Guillermo Brown0–2L
12 Julvs Olimpo Bahia Blanca0–1L
5 Jul@ Alvarado0–5L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Germinal de Rawson v Sol de Mayo1–0
Sol de Mayo vs Germinal de Rawson head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

League hub
FT Costa Brava1 Guillermo Brown0 161%1.70X25%3.10214%5.00 1.4–0.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.40 ✓
FT Argentino Monte Maíz1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca1 134%2.38X26%2.70240%3.10 0.8–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Douglas Haig3 Sarmiento de La Banda1 162%1.90X21%3.10216%3.75 1.5–0.6xG 1XDouglas Haig or draw 84%@1.20 ✓
FT Kimberley Mar del Plata3 Cipolletti1 163%1.75X25%2.80212%5.25 1.5–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✗
FT Juventud Unida Univ.0 Circulo Deportivo0 160%1.61X26%3.25214%5.40 1.3–0.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.48 ✓
FT Sportivo Las Parejas0 Independiente De Chivilcoy0 158%1.65X25%3.10216%5.75 1.4–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Huracan Las Heras1 Juventud Antoniana0 134%2.45X24%2.90242%2.75 0.9–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.50 ✓
FT Villa Mitre0 Alvarado0 143%2.15X25%2.75232%3.50 0.9–0.7xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sol de Mayo vs Germinal de Rawson?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Sol de Mayo vs Germinal de Rawson?

On our numbers Sol de Mayo have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Germinal de Rawson 15%.

How many goals will there be in Sol de Mayo vs Germinal de Rawson?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sol de Mayo vs Germinal de Rawson?

Our predicted score is Sol de Mayo 1–0 Germinal de Rawson, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Sol de Mayo vs Germinal de Rawson?

Sol de Mayo vs Germinal de Rawson (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sol De Mayo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.