Douglas Haig 62%Draw 21%Sarmiento de La Banda 16%Expected goals 1.50 – 0.57
84%
Betarazi pick
Douglas Haig or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Douglas Haig to win @ 1.90 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDouglas Haig to win ✓62% · @1.90
Double chanceDouglas Haig or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.28
Douglas Haig vs Sarmiento de La Banda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Douglas Haig v Sarmiento de La Banda in the Torneo Federal A, played at Miguel Morales. In the table, Douglas Haig are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Sarmiento de La Banda are 13th (upper half) with 25.
Current form
Douglas Haig, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Defensores de Belgrano VR, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sarmiento de La Banda, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sol de América, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sarmiento de La Banda, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Douglas Haig.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Douglas Haig 1.5 xG, Sarmiento de La Banda 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Douglas Haig 62%, draw 21%, Sarmiento de La Banda 16%.
Lower-risk option: Douglas Haig or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Douglas Haig to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Douglas Haig or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Douglas Haig 1–0 Sarmiento de La Banda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Douglas Haig62%fair 1.60 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.10
Sarmiento de La Banda16%fair 6.15 · @3.75
2.07Expected goals
1.50Douglas Haig xG
0.57Sarmiento de La Banda xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Douglas Haig 1.5 – 0.6 Sarmiento de La Banda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Douglas Haig to win✓
62%
1.60
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Douglas Haig or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.57
Draw no bet
Douglas Haig (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Douglas Haig -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Douglas Haig to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Douglas Haig / FT Douglas Haig✗
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.28
–
Recent results
Douglas Haig – last 6
DLDWLD
12 Aug
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs San Martin Formosa
1–4
L
2 Aug
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
0–0
D
26 Jul
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ Atletico Escobar
1–2
L
5 Jul
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sarmiento de La Banda – last 6
DDDWLW
13 Aug
vs Sol de América
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Bartolomé Mitre
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Tucuman Central
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs San Martin Formosa
2–0
W
4 Jul
@ Defensores de Vilelas
0–3
L
28 Jun
vs Bartolomé Mitre
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Douglas Haig and Sarmiento de La Banda.
What is the prediction for Douglas Haig vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Our pick is Douglas Haig or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Douglas Haig vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
On our numbers Douglas Haig have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sarmiento de La Banda 16%.
How many goals will there be in Douglas Haig vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Douglas Haig vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Our predicted score is Douglas Haig 1–0 Sarmiento de La Banda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Douglas Haig vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Douglas Haig vs Sarmiento de La Banda (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Miguel Morales.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
