Costa Brava 61%Draw 25%Guillermo Brown 14%Expected goals 1.44 – 0.51
68%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultCosta Brava to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceCosta Brava or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.87
Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guillermo Brown travel to face Costa Brava on Sunday 16 August in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Costa Brava are 27th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Guillermo Brown are 34th (lower half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Costa Brava, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Fundacion Amigos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Guillermo Brown, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Juventud Unida Univ., at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Guillermo Brown, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Costa Brava.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Costa Brava 1.4 xG, Guillermo Brown 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Costa Brava 61%, draw 25%, Guillermo Brown 14%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Costa Brava 1–0 Guillermo Brown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Costa Brava61%fair 1.63 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.10
Guillermo Brown14%fair 7.07 · @5.00
1.95Expected goals
1.44Costa Brava xG
0.51Guillermo Brown xG
45%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Costa Brava 1.4 – 0.5 Guillermo Brown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Costa Brava to win✓
61%
1.63
1.70
Double chance
Costa Brava or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.40
Draw no bet
Costa Brava (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Costa Brava -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
Costa Brava to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Costa Brava / FT Costa Brava✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
21%
4.87
–
Recent results
Costa Brava – last 6
DDDLLW
12 Aug
@ Fundacion Amigos
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Germinal de Rawson
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ San Martín Mendoza
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Deportivo Rincon
0–1
L
4 Jul
@ Huracan Las Heras
0–2
L
28 Jun
vs San Martín Mendoza
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Guillermo Brown – last 6
WLLWLW
12 Aug
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Circulo Deportivo
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Deportivo Rincon
0–2
L
26 Jul
vs Germinal de Rawson
2–0
W
12 Jul
@ Villa Mitre
0–3
L
5 Jul
vs Circulo Deportivo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Costa Brava and Guillermo Brown.
What is the prediction for Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown?
On our numbers Costa Brava have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guillermo Brown 14%.
How many goals will there be in Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown?
Our predicted score is Costa Brava 1–0 Guillermo Brown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown?
Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
