San Martin Formosa v Sarmiento de La Banda: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · 17 De Octubre

Sarmiento de La Banda

LLWLD

San Martin Formosa 63%Draw 23%Sarmiento de La Banda 13% Expected goals 1.72 – 0.64

79%

Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating

1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultSan Martin Formosa to win ✓63% · @1.65

Double chanceSan Martin Formosa or draw ✓87% · @1.12

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.16

San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

San Martin Formosa welcome Sarmiento de La Banda to 17 De Octubre for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 13 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, San Martin Formosa are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Sarmiento de La Banda are 13th (upper half) with 25.

Current form

San Martin Formosa, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Defensores de Belgrano VR, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Sarmiento de La Banda, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to 9 de Julio Rafaela, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours San Martin Formosa, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Sarmiento de La Banda.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Jul 2026) it ended Sarmiento de La Banda 2–0 San Martin Formosa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Martin Formosa 1.7 xG, Sarmiento de La Banda 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin Formosa 63%, draw 23%, Sarmiento de La Banda 13%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin Formosa 1–0 Sarmiento de La Banda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Martin Formosa63%fair 1.58 · @1.65

Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.30

Sarmiento de La Banda13%fair 7.46 · @4.75

2.36Expected goals

1.72San Martin Formosa xG

0.64Sarmiento de La Banda xG

47%Both score

41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%

2–014%

1–110%

0–09%

2–19%

3–08%

From our goals model: San Martin Formosa 1.7 – 0.6 Sarmiento de La Banda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	San Martin Formosa to win ✓	63%	1.58	1.65
Double chance	San Martin Formosa or draw ✓	87%	1.15	1.12
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	53%	1.90	1.57
Draw no bet	San Martin Formosa (draw no bet) ✓	83%	1.21	–
Asian handicap	San Martin Formosa -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	66%	1.51	1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	59%	1.69	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.12	1.06
First team to score	San Martin Formosa to score first ✓	66%	1.52	–
Half-time result	San Martin Formosa ahead at half-time ✓	44%	2.28	–
Half-time / full-time	HT San Martin Formosa / FT San Martin Formosa ✓	40%	2.52	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	16%	6.16	–

Recent results

San Martin Formosa – last 6

LWDWWW

6 Sep	@ Defensores de Belgrano VR	0–1	L
23 Aug	vs 9 de Julio Rafaela	2–1	W
16 Aug	@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy	1–1	D
12 Aug	vs Sportivo Belgrano	2–0	W
8 Aug	@ Douglas Haig	4–1	W
2 Aug	vs Sol de América	2–1	W

1.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Sarmiento de La Banda – last 6

LLWLDD

6 Sep	vs 9 de Julio Rafaela	1–4	L
30 Aug	@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy	0–1	L
23 Aug	vs Sportivo Belgrano	3–0	W
16 Aug	@ Douglas Haig	1–3	L
13 Aug	vs Sol de América	0–0	D
8 Aug	@ Bartolomé Mitre	1–1	D

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Jul 2026

Sarmiento de La Banda v San Martin Formosa

2–0

San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	16	8	7	1	+9	31
2	Douglas Haig	18	9	4	5	+7	31
3	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	+12	30
4	San Martin Formosa	16	9	3	4	+6	30
5	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	+12	27
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	6	5	+5	27
7	Defensores de Belgrano VR	18	7	6	5	+4	27
8	Kimberley Mar del Plata	16	6	8	2	+6	26
9	Bartolomé Mitre	16	7	5	4	+6	26
10	Sol de América	16	8	2	6	+5	26
11	Juventud Antoniana	16	7	4	5	+8	25
12	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	+4	25
13	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	7	4	5	+2	25
14	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	+1	25
15	Sportivo Las Parejas	18	5	9	4	-1	24
16	Villa Mitre	16	5	8	3	+6	23
17	Argentino Monte Maíz	16	5	8	3	+4	23
18	Atenas	16	6	5	5	-1	23
19	Huracan Las Heras	16	6	5	5	-2	23
20	Atletico Escobar	18	6	4	8	-8	22
21	Fundacion Amigos	16	4	9	3	+3	21
22	Deportivo Rincon	16	5	4	7	-3	19
23	San Martín Mendoza	16	4	7	5	-4	19
24	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	-5	19
25	Independiente De Chivilcoy	18	4	7	7	-7	19
26	El Linqueño	18	5	4	9	-7	19
27	Costa Brava	16	4	6	6	-1	18
28	Sol de Mayo	16	4	6	6	-3	18
29	Boca Unidos	16	5	3	8	-6	18
30	Germinal de Rawson	16	4	6	6	-7	18
31	Juventud Unida Univ.	16	3	8	5	0	17
32	Tucuman Central	16	5	2	9	-5	17
33	Gimnasia Concepción	18	4	5	9	-6	17
34	Guillermo Brown	16	4	5	7	-7	17
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	16	3	6	7	-11	15
36	Santamarina	16	2	7	7	-8	13
37	Circulo Deportivo	16	2	7	7	-8	13

More Torneo Federal A predictions

League hub

Santamarina1

Costa Brava3 138%2.40X25%2.75237%3.00 0.9–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 70%@1.36 ✗

Fundacion Amigos1

Deportivo Rincon0 146%2.05X24%2.90230%3.60 1.1–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.44 ✓

Kimberley Mar del Plata0

Huracan Las Heras0 167%1.50X20%3.60214%7.00 1.5–0.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓

Tucuman Central0

Sportivo Las Parejas4 129%3.70X24%2.90247%2.00 0.8–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✗

Cipolletti1

Alvarado0 134%2.88X25%2.80241%2.45 1.0–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓

Defensores de Vilelas2

Independiente De Chivilcoy0 164%1.45X21%3.50215%7.00 1.7–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓

Germinal de Rawson1

Guillermo Brown0 140%2.45X25%2.75235%2.90 1.0–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.40 ✓

Argentino Monte Maíz1

Villa Mitre0 142%2.35X26%2.70232%3.10 1.0–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda?

On our numbers San Martin Formosa have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sarmiento de La Banda 13%.

How many goals will there be in San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda?

Our predicted score is San Martin Formosa 1–0 Sarmiento de La Banda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda?

San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at 17 De Octubre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.