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Germinal de Rawson v Guillermo Brown: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio El Fortin
Germinal de Rawson 40%Draw 25%Guillermo Brown 35% Expected goals 1.00 – 0.90
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultGerminal de Rawson to win ✓40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.68

Germinal de Rawson vs Guillermo Brown: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Germinal de Rawson v Guillermo Brown in the Torneo Federal A, played at Estadio El Fortin. In the table, Germinal de Rawson are 30th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Guillermo Brown are 34th (lower half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Germinal de Rawson, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fundacion Amigos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Guillermo Brown, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Martín Mendoza, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Guillermo Brown, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Germinal de Rawson.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Guillermo Brown 2–0 Germinal de Rawson. The last 2 head-to-heads: Germinal de Rawson 0 wins, Guillermo Brown 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Germinal de Rawson 1.0 xG, Guillermo Brown 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Germinal de Rawson 40%, draw 25%, Guillermo Brown 35%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Germinal de Rawson 0–0 Guillermo Brown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Germinal de Rawson40%fair 2.49 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.75
Guillermo Brown35%fair 2.87 · @2.90
1.90Expected goals
1.00Germinal de Rawson xG
0.90Guillermo Brown xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–015%
1–015%
0–113%
1–113%
2–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Germinal de Rawson 1.0 – 0.9 Guillermo Brown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGerminal de Rawson to win ✓40%2.492.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.53
Draw no betGerminal de Rawson (draw no bet) ✓54%1.87–
Asian handicapGuillermo Brown +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗58%1.731.57
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.461.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.171.12
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.071.03
First team to scoreGerminal de Rawson to score first ✓45%2.24–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗23%4.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.68–

Recent results

Germinal de Rawson – last 6

DDDLWD
6 Sep@ Fundacion Amigos1–1D
30 Augvs Deportivo Rincon0–0D
23 Augvs San Martín Mendoza0–0D
16 Aug@ Sol de Mayo0–1L
12 Augvs Santamarina5–1W
8 Aug@ Costa Brava1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Guillermo Brown – last 6

DWWLWL
6 Sepvs San Martín Mendoza1–1D
30 Aug@ Sol de Mayo2–0W
23 Augvs Santamarina1–0W
16 Aug@ Costa Brava0–1L
12 Augvs Juventud Unida Univ.2–1W
8 Aug@ Circulo Deportivo0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jul 2026Guillermo Brown v Germinal de Rawson2–0
17 May 2026Germinal de Rawson v Guillermo Brown1–1
Germinal de Rawson vs Guillermo Brown head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Germinal de Rawson vs Guillermo Brown?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Germinal de Rawson vs Guillermo Brown?

On our numbers Germinal de Rawson have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guillermo Brown 35%.

How many goals will there be in Germinal de Rawson vs Guillermo Brown?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Germinal de Rawson vs Guillermo Brown?

Our predicted score is Germinal de Rawson 0–0 Guillermo Brown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Germinal de Rawson vs Guillermo Brown?

Germinal de Rawson vs Guillermo Brown (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.