Value bet: Costa Brava to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSantamarina to win ✗38% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.72
Santamarina vs Costa Brava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Costa Brava travel to face Santamarina on Sunday 13 September in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Santamarina are 36th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 16 matches; Costa Brava are 27th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Santamarina, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Juventud Unida Univ., away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Costa Brava, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Rincon, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Costa Brava, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Santamarina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santamarina 0.9 xG, Costa Brava 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santamarina 38%, draw 25%, Costa Brava 37%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Costa Brava to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santamarina 0–0 Costa Brava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santamarina38%fair 2.61 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.75
Costa Brava37%fair 2.73 · @3.00
1.84Expected goals
0.94Santamarina xG
0.90Costa Brava xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Santamarina 0.9 – 0.9 Costa Brava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santamarina to win✗
38%
2.61
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.50
Draw no bet
Santamarina (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Costa Brava +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
1.03
First team to score
Santamarina to score first
43%
2.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.72
–
Recent results
Santamarina – last 6
LWLWLL
6 Sep
@ Juventud Unida Univ.
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Circulo Deportivo
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Guillermo Brown
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Fundacion Amigos
2–0
W
12 Aug
@ Germinal de Rawson
1–5
L
8 Aug
vs San Martín Mendoza
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Costa Brava – last 6
DLWWDD
6 Sep
@ Deportivo Rincon
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Circulo Deportivo
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Guillermo Brown
1–0
W
12 Aug
@ Fundacion Amigos
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Germinal de Rawson
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santamarina and Costa Brava.
What is the prediction for Santamarina vs Costa Brava?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Santamarina vs Costa Brava?
On our numbers Santamarina have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Costa Brava 37%.
How many goals will there be in Santamarina vs Costa Brava?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santamarina vs Costa Brava?
Our predicted score is Santamarina 0–0 Costa Brava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Santamarina vs Costa Brava?
Santamarina vs Costa Brava (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
