Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Rincon to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFundacion Amigos to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.25
Fundacion Amigos vs Deportivo Rincon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Torneo Federal A brings Fundacion Amigos against Deportivo Rincon at Predio de FADEP. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Fundacion Amigos are 21st, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Rincon are 22nd (lower half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fundacion Amigos, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Germinal de Rawson, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Rincon, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Costa Brava, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fundacion Amigos 1.1 xG, Deportivo Rincon 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fundacion Amigos 46%, draw 24%, Deportivo Rincon 30%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Rincon to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fundacion Amigos 1–0 Deportivo Rincon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fundacion Amigos46%fair 2.19 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.90
Deportivo Rincon30%fair 3.34 · @3.60
1.95Expected goals
1.12Fundacion Amigos xG
0.83Deportivo Rincon xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Fundacion Amigos 1.1 – 0.8 Deportivo Rincon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fundacion Amigos to win✓
46%
2.19
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.57
Draw no bet
Fundacion Amigos (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Rincon +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
Fundacion Amigos to score first✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fundacion Amigos / FT Fundacion Amigos✓
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.25
–
Recent results
Fundacion Amigos – last 6
DWWLDL
6 Sep
vs Germinal de Rawson
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ San Martín Mendoza
2–0
W
23 Aug
vs Sol de Mayo
2–0
W
17 Aug
@ Santamarina
0–2
L
12 Aug
vs Costa Brava
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Juventud Unida Univ.
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Deportivo Rincon – last 6
DDWLDW
6 Sep
vs Costa Brava
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Germinal de Rawson
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ San Martín Mendoza
0–1
L
12 Aug
vs Circulo Deportivo
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Sol de Mayo
4–2
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fundacion Amigos and Deportivo Rincon.
What is the prediction for Fundacion Amigos vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Fundacion Amigos vs Deportivo Rincon?
On our numbers Fundacion Amigos have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Rincon 30%.
How many goals will there be in Fundacion Amigos vs Deportivo Rincon?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fundacion Amigos vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our predicted score is Fundacion Amigos 1–0 Deportivo Rincon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Fundacion Amigos vs Deportivo Rincon?
Fundacion Amigos vs Deportivo Rincon (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Predio de FADEP.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
