Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBoca Unidos to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceBoca Unidos or draw ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Boca Unidos vs Independiente De Chivilcoy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Boca Unidos welcome Independiente De Chivilcoy to Estadio Leoncio Benitez for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Saturday 8 August (19:30 WAT). In the table, Boca Unidos are 29th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Independiente De Chivilcoy are 25th (lower half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Boca Unidos, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Atletico Escobar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Independiente De Chivilcoy, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sportivo Las Parejas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Boca Unidos, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Independiente De Chivilcoy.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Boca Unidos 1.3 xG, Independiente De Chivilcoy 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Boca Unidos 47%, draw 28%, Independiente De Chivilcoy 25%.
Lower-risk option: Boca Unidos or draw (75%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Boca Unidos or draw (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boca Unidos 1–0 Independiente De Chivilcoy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Boca Unidos47%fair 2.12 · @2.00
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.00
Independiente De Chivilcoy25%fair 4.04 · @3.60
2.20Expected goals
1.34Boca Unidos xG
0.86Independiente De Chivilcoy xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Boca Unidos 1.3 – 0.9 Independiente De Chivilcoy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Boca Unidos
Independiente De Chivilcoy
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
+10%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.28
0.78
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boca Unidos to win✗
47%
2.12
2.00
Double chance
Boca Unidos or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Boca Unidos (draw no bet)
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Independiente De Chivilcoy +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Boca Unidos to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boca Unidos / FT Boca Unidos✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Boca Unidos – last 6
WLLWLW
1 Aug
@ Atletico Escobar
3–0
W
26 Jul
vs Juventud Antoniana
0–3
L
12 Jul
@ Sol de América
2–3
L
5 Jul
vs Sarmiento Resistencia
2–0
W
21 Jun
@ Tucuman Central
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs San Martin Formosa
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Independiente De Chivilcoy – last 6
DLDLLD
26 Jul
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ El Linqueño
1–2
L
5 Jul
@ Sportivo Belgrano
1–1
D
28 Jun
vs Douglas Haig
0–4
L
21 Jun
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Gimnasia Concepción
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boca Unidos and Independiente De Chivilcoy.
What is the prediction for Boca Unidos vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Our pick is Boca Unidos or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Boca Unidos vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
On our numbers Boca Unidos have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Independiente De Chivilcoy 25%.
How many goals will there be in Boca Unidos vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boca Unidos vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Our predicted score is Boca Unidos 1–0 Independiente De Chivilcoy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Boca Unidos vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Boca Unidos vs Independiente De Chivilcoy (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Leoncio Benitez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
