Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: San Martín Mendoza to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSan Martín Mendoza to win ✓61% · @1.90
Double chanceSan Martín Mendoza or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.86
San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Martín Mendoza welcome Deportivo Rincon to Estadio General Jose de San Martin for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 16 August (21:30 WAT). In the table, San Martín Mendoza are 23rd, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Rincon are 22nd (lower half) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
San Martín Mendoza, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sol de Mayo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Rincon, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Circulo Deportivo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Jul 2026) it ended San Martín Mendoza 1–0 Deportivo Rincon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martín Mendoza 1.5 xG, Deportivo Rincon 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martín Mendoza 61%, draw 26%, Deportivo Rincon 13%.
Lower-risk option: San Martín Mendoza or draw (87%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: San Martín Mendoza to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martín Mendoza 1–0 Deportivo Rincon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martín Mendoza61%fair 1.63 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.88
Deportivo Rincon13%fair 7.73 · @4.20
1.96Expected goals
1.46San Martín Mendoza xG
0.50Deportivo Rincon xG
46%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: San Martín Mendoza 1.5 – 0.5 Deportivo Rincon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?
On our numbers San Martín Mendoza have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Rincon 13%.
How many goals will there be in San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our predicted score is San Martín Mendoza 1–0 Deportivo Rincon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?
San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Jose de San Martin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
