Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: San Martín Mendoza to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSan Martín Mendoza to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceSan Martín Mendoza or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.91
San Martín Mendoza vs Circulo Deportivo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Martín Mendoza welcome Circulo Deportivo to Estadio General Jose de San Martin for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 13 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, San Martín Mendoza are 23rd, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Circulo Deportivo are 37th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
San Martín Mendoza, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Guillermo Brown, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Circulo Deportivo, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sol de Mayo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours San Martín Mendoza, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Circulo Deportivo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martín Mendoza 1.3 xG, Circulo Deportivo 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martín Mendoza 59%, draw 23%, Circulo Deportivo 18%.
Lower-risk option: San Martín Mendoza or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: San Martín Mendoza to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martín Mendoza 1–0 Circulo Deportivo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martín Mendoza59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.00
Circulo Deportivo18%fair 5.53 · @4.10
1.88Expected goals
1.34San Martín Mendoza xG
0.55Circulo Deportivo xG
45%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
0–015%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: San Martín Mendoza 1.3 – 0.5 Circulo Deportivo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martín Mendoza to win✓
59%
1.69
1.85 ▲
Double chance
San Martín Mendoza or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.62
Draw no bet
San Martín Mendoza (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Circulo Deportivo +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.05
First team to score
San Martín Mendoza to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martín Mendoza / FT San Martín Mendoza✓
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.91
–
Recent results
San Martín Mendoza – last 6
DLDWWW
6 Sep
@ Guillermo Brown
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Fundacion Amigos
0–2
L
23 Aug
@ Germinal de Rawson
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Deportivo Rincon
1–0
W
13 Aug
vs Sol de Mayo
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Santamarina
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Circulo Deportivo – last 6
WLLDDW
6 Sep
vs Sol de Mayo
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Santamarina
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Costa Brava
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Juventud Unida Univ.
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Deportivo Rincon
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Guillermo Brown
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martín Mendoza and Circulo Deportivo.
What is the prediction for San Martín Mendoza vs Circulo Deportivo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win San Martín Mendoza vs Circulo Deportivo?
On our numbers San Martín Mendoza have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Circulo Deportivo 18%.
How many goals will there be in San Martín Mendoza vs Circulo Deportivo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martín Mendoza vs Circulo Deportivo?
Our predicted score is San Martín Mendoza 1–0 Circulo Deportivo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is San Martín Mendoza vs Circulo Deportivo?
San Martín Mendoza vs Circulo Deportivo (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Jose de San Martin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
