Value bet: Arosa to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPontevedra to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.21
Arosa vs Pontevedra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arosa welcome Pontevedra for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Saturday 1 August (19:00 WAT).
Current form
Arosa, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Boiro, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pontevedra, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Tenerife, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Momentum favours Arosa, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Pontevedra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arosa 1.4 xG, Pontevedra 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arosa 34%, draw 24%, Pontevedra 41%.
Price worth noting: Arosa to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arosa 1–1 Pontevedra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arosa34%fair 2.90 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.25
Pontevedra41%fair 2.43 · @2.05
2.83Expected goals
1.44Arosa xG
1.39Pontevedra xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Arosa 1.4 – 1.4 Pontevedra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Arosa
Pontevedra
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+9%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.73
1.33
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pontevedra to win✗
41%
2.43
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Pontevedra (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Pontevedra +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Arosa to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arosa / FT Arosa✓
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.21
–
Recent results
Arosa – last 6
WDDWWW
26 Apr
vs Boiro
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Estradense
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Villalbés
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Somozas
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Coruña
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Viveiro
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Pontevedra – last 3
LLD
17 May
@ Tenerife
0–3
L
8 Apr
@ Arenas Getxo
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arosa and Pontevedra.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Arosa vs Pontevedra?
On our numbers Arosa have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pontevedra 41%.
How many goals will there be in Arosa vs Pontevedra?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arosa vs Pontevedra?
Our predicted score is Arosa 1–1 Pontevedra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Arosa vs Pontevedra?
Arosa vs Pontevedra (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lazio6
Avellino3
Levante2
Albacete1
Alcorcon2
Getafe II0
Lucko1
Segesta Sisak1
Eibar5
Arenas Getxo0
Bayer Leverkusen3
Rot-Weiß Essen0
Moreirense2
Amarante0
De Graafschap1
Excelsior5