Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.35 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHammarby FF to win ✗35% · @2.94
Double chanceHammarby FF or draw ✓70% · @1.60
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby FF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Raków Częstochowa welcome Hammarby FF to Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie for a UEFA Europa Conference League fixture on Thursday 6 August (18:00 WAT).
Current form
Raków Częstochowa, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Slask Wroclaw, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Hammarby FF, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Anderlecht, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Hammarby FF, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Raków Częstochowa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Raków Częstochowa 1.5 xG, Hammarby FF 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Raków Częstochowa 30%, draw 34%, Hammarby FF 35%.
Lower-risk option: Hammarby FF or draw (70%) at 1.60.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Hammarby FF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Raków Częstochowa30%fair 3.30 · @2.22
Draw34%fair 2.91 · @3.35
Hammarby FF35%fair 2.83 · @2.94
3.28Expected goals
1.45Raków Częstochowa xG
1.82Hammarby FF xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 1.5 – 1.8 Hammarby FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hammarby FF to win✗
35%
2.83
2.94
Double chance
Hammarby FF or draw✓
70%
1.44
1.60 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.62
Draw no bet
Hammarby FF (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Raków Częstochowa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Hammarby FF to score first✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hammarby FF / FT Hammarby FF✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Raków Częstochowa – last 6
LWLWDL
2 Aug
@ Slask Wroclaw
1–2
L
30 Jul
@ Valletta FC
4–0
W
26 Jul
vs Wisla Plock
1–2
L
23 Jul
vs Valletta FC
3–1
W
16 Jul
vs GKS Katowice
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ PSV Eindhoven
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Hammarby FF – last 6
LDDWWW
30 Jul
@ Anderlecht
1–3
L
26 Jul
@ IF Brommapojkarna
1–1
D
23 Jul
vs Anderlecht
1–1
D
19 Jul
vs Degerfors IF
4–0
W
12 Jul
vs Kalmar FF
2–0
W
5 Jul
@ IF Elfsborg
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raków Częstochowa and Hammarby FF.
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby FF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby FF?
On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Hammarby FF 35%.
How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby FF?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby FF?
Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Hammarby FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby FF?
Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby FF (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.