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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

HNK Rijeka v Ilves: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Stadion HNK Rijeka Dean Šćulac

HNK Rijeka

WWWWW
1–0
FT

Ilves

LWWLW
HNK Rijeka 64%Draw 21%Ilves 15% Expected goals 1.65 – 0.89
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultHNK Rijeka to win ✓64% · @1.13
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓85% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 16.86

HNK Rijeka vs Ilves: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

HNK Rijeka welcome Ilves to Stadion HNK Rijeka Dean Šćulac for a UEFA Europa Conference League fixture on Thursday 6 August (19:45 WAT).

Current form

HNK Rijeka, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rudes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Ilves, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to AC Oulu, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours HNK Rijeka, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Ilves.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give HNK Rijeka 1.7 xG, Ilves 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – HNK Rijeka 64%, draw 21%, Ilves 15%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (68%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.48, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: HNK Rijeka 1–0 Ilves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

HNK Rijeka64%fair 1.56 · @1.13
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @6.60
Ilves15%fair 6.74 · @17.50
2.54Expected goals
1.65HNK Rijeka xG
0.89Ilves xG
48%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 1.7 – 0.9 Ilves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHNK Rijeka to win ✓64%1.561.13
Double chanceHNK Rijeka or draw ✓85%1.17–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.42
Draw no betHNK Rijeka (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapIlves +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.301.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.481.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.22
First team to scoreHNK Rijeka to score first ✓60%1.67–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT HNK Rijeka / FT HNK Rijeka ✓34%2.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6%16.86–

Recent results

HNK Rijeka – last 6

WWWWWW
2 Augvs Rudes2–1W
30 Jul@ Derry City1–0W
23 Julvs Derry City1–0W
3 Jul@ Radomlje2–0W
30 Jun@ Brinje-Grosuplje3–0W
27 Jun@ Bravo2–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ilves – last 6

LWWLWW
2 Aug@ AC Oulu0–1L
30 Julvs Stjarnan1–0W
26 Julvs Lahti1–0W
23 Jul@ Stjarnan0–1L
20 Jul@ Turku PS3–1W
16 Julvs FC Differdange 033–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between HNK Rijeka and Ilves.

HNK Rijeka vs Ilves head-to-head page →

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FT CFR 1907 Cluj0 Tromso5 131%2.68X36%3.30233%2.42 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
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FT Dynamo Kyiv1 Qarabag0 137%2.15X37%3.25226%3.10 1.3–1.1xG 1XDynamo Kyiv or draw 74%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for HNK Rijeka vs Ilves?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win HNK Rijeka vs Ilves?

On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ilves 15%.

How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs Ilves?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs Ilves?

Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 1–0 Ilves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is HNK Rijeka vs Ilves?

HNK Rijeka vs Ilves (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka Dean Šćulac.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.