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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Nordsjaelland v Valur Reykjavik: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Right to Dream Park
5–0
FT
FC Nordsjaelland 74%Draw 15%Valur Reykjavik 10% Expected goals 2.46 – 0.79
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Nordsjaelland to win ✓74% · @1.07
Double chanceFC Nordsjaelland or draw ✓90% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.20
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78

FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Valur Reykjavik travel to face FC Nordsjaelland on Thursday 13 August in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Right to Dream Park the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.

Current form

FC Nordsjaelland, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Valur Reykjavik, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Valur Reykjavik, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Breidablik, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Nordsjaelland, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Valur Reykjavik.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Aug 2026) it ended Valur Reykjavik 0–2 FC Nordsjaelland.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Nordsjaelland 2.5 xG, Valur Reykjavik 0.8 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Nordsjaelland 74%, draw 15%, Valur Reykjavik 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Nordsjaelland 3–0 Valur Reykjavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Nordsjaelland74%fair 1.35 · @1.07
Draw15%fair 6.54 · @9.60
Valur Reykjavik10%fair 9.65 · @19.50
3.25Expected goals
2.46FC Nordsjaelland xG
0.79Valur Reykjavik xG
51%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
3–010%
1–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–18%

From our goals model: FC Nordsjaelland 2.5 – 0.8 Valur Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Nordsjaelland to win ✓74%1.351.07
Double chanceFC Nordsjaelland or draw ✓90%1.12–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.942.20 ▲
Draw no betFC Nordsjaelland (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapFC Nordsjaelland -1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.171.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.471.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.922.10 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗70%1.421.48
First team to scoreFC Nordsjaelland to score first ✓73%1.37–
Half-time resultFC Nordsjaelland ahead at half-time ✓54%1.84–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Nordsjaelland / FT FC Nordsjaelland ✓50%1.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.78–

Recent results

FC Nordsjaelland – last 6

WWWDLD
6 Aug@ Valur Reykjavik2–0W
2 Augvs Randers FC1–0W
30 Julvs Gais6–0W
26 Jul@ AC Horsens1–1D
23 Jul@ Gais0–1L
21 Jul@ Hørsholm-Usserød2–2D
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Valur Reykjavik – last 6

WLLDWL
9 Aug@ Breidablik3–1W
6 Augvs FC Nordsjaelland0–2L
3 Augvs Stjarnan2–3L
30 Jul@ Zrinjski2–2D
23 Julvs Zrinjski1–0W
18 Julvs Fram Reykjavik2–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Aug 2026Valur Reykjavik v FC Nordsjaelland0–2
FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik head-to-head page →

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano3300+79
2Panathinaikos3300+69
3Twente3300+69
4Monaco3300+69
5Brighton3210+57
6Brann3210+47
7FC Copenhagen3210+47
8Universitatea Craiova3210+47
9Mjallby AIF3210+47
10St. Truiden3210+37
11Ajax3201+66
12Trabzonspor3201+36
13HNK Hajduk Split3201+16
14SC Freiburg3201-16
15FK Crvena Zvezda311104
16Atalanta311104
17SC Braga3111-14
18Gent3111-14
19Riga303003
20FC Thun310203
21Borac Banja Luka3102-13
22Lincoln Red Imps FC3102-33
23FK Jablonec3021-12
24Aarhus3021-12
25FC Nordsjaelland3021-22
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë3021-22
27Kairat Almaty3021-42
28CSKA Sofia3012-21
29FC Iberia 19993012-31
30Pafos3012-41
31Getafe3012-41
32Heart Of Midlothian3012-41
33KuPS3012-41
34FC Midtjylland3012-61
35Inter Club d'Escaldes3003-50
36Kauno Žalgiris3003-100

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik?

On our numbers FC Nordsjaelland have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Valur Reykjavik 10%.

How many goals will there be in FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik?

Our predicted score is FC Nordsjaelland 3–0 Valur Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik?

FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Right to Dream Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.