Shelbourne v Ajax Prediction & Expected Goals (13 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAjax to win ✗75% · @1.13

Double chanceAjax or draw ✓90% · fair 1.11

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.95

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.19

Shelbourne vs Ajax: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 13 August the UEFA Europa Conference League brings Shelbourne against Ajax at Tolka Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Shelbourne, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to St Patrick's Athl., at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Ajax, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over PEC Zwolle, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Ajax, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.7 for Shelbourne.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Aug 2026) it ended Ajax 3–1 Shelbourne.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shelbourne 1.1 xG, Ajax 3.0 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Shelbourne 10%, draw 15%, Ajax 75%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shelbourne 1–2 Ajax. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shelbourne10%fair 9.72 · @16.00

Draw15%fair 6.84 · @7.10

Ajax75%fair 1.33 · @1.13

4.10Expected goals

1.10Shelbourne xG

3.00Ajax xG

61%Both score

73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%

1–38%

0–27%

0–37%

1–46%

0–46%

From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.1 – 3.0 Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ajax to win ✗	75%	1.33	1.13
Double chance	Ajax or draw ✓	90%	1.11	–
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	61%	1.63	1.95 ▲
Draw no bet	Ajax (draw no bet)	88%	1.14	–
Asian handicap	Ajax -1 (Asian handicap) ✗	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	53%	1.87	1.93
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	65%	1.54	1.35
First team to score	Ajax to score first	72%	1.39	–
Half-time result	Ajax ahead at half-time ✓	57%	1.74	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ajax / FT Ajax ✗	53%	1.89	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.19	–

Shelbourne – last 6

LLLLWD

9 Aug	vs St Patrick's Athl.	1–2	L
6 Aug	@ Ajax	1–3	L
2 Aug	@ Waterford	0–1	L
30 Jul	@ Kalju Nomme	1–2	L
23 Jul	vs Kalju Nomme	5–2	W
17 Jul	@ Kerry	2–2	D

1.7Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Ajax – last 6

WWWWWW

9 Aug	@ PEC Zwolle	2–0	W
6 Aug	vs Shelbourne	3–1	W
2 Aug	@ FC Volendam	3–1	W
30 Jul	vs Vojvodina	4–1	W
26 Jul	vs Burnley	2–1	W
23 Jul	@ Vojvodina	4–1	W

3.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Ajax?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Shelbourne vs Ajax?

On our numbers Shelbourne have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Ajax 75%.

How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Ajax?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Ajax?

Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–2 Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Shelbourne vs Ajax?

Shelbourne vs Ajax (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Shelbourne v Ajax: numbers & prediction

Shelbourne

Ajax

Over 2.5 goals

Picks by market

Shelbourne vs Ajax: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Head to head

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Shelbourne – last 6

Ajax – last 6

Head to head

UEFA Europa Conference League table

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

Frequently asked questions