Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
2
Value bet: Ospitaletto to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOspitaletto to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Athletic Carpi vs Ospitaletto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ospitaletto travel to face Athletic Carpi on Thursday 17 September in the Serie C Girone A, with Stadio Sandro Cabassi the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Athletic Carpi are 15th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Ospitaletto are 4th (among the top four) with 22.
Current form
Athletic Carpi, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cittadella, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Ospitaletto, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Juventus U23, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Ospitaletto, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Athletic Carpi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Athletic Carpi 1.4 xG, Ospitaletto 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Athletic Carpi 31%, draw 25%, Ospitaletto 44%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Ospitaletto to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.72, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athletic Carpi 1–1 Ospitaletto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Athletic Carpi31%fair 3.23 · @2.75
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.80
Ospitaletto44%fair 2.26 · @2.45
3.13Expected goals
1.41Athletic Carpi xG
1.72Ospitaletto xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–26%
2–26%
From our goals model: Athletic Carpi 1.4 – 1.7 Ospitaletto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ospitaletto to win✗
44%
2.26
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Ospitaletto (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Athletic Carpi +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Ospitaletto to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ospitaletto / FT Ospitaletto✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Athletic Carpi – last 6
LWDDLW
13 Sep
vs Cittadella
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Albinoleffe
1–0
W
2 Sep
vs PRO Vercelli
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Juventus U23
3–3
D
21 Aug
@ Union Brescia
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Pianese
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ospitaletto – last 6
WWDWLD
13 Sep
vs Juventus U23
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
3–1
W
31 Aug
@ Albinoleffe
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Lumezzane
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Trento
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Rovato Vertovese
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Carpi and Ospitaletto.
What is the prediction for Athletic Carpi vs Ospitaletto?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Athletic Carpi vs Ospitaletto?
On our numbers Athletic Carpi have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ospitaletto 44%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Carpi vs Ospitaletto?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Carpi vs Ospitaletto?
Our predicted score is Athletic Carpi 1–1 Ospitaletto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Athletic Carpi vs Ospitaletto?
Athletic Carpi vs Ospitaletto (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Sandro Cabassi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
