Desenzano Calvina v Lecco Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDesenzano Calvina to win ✗43% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.45

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.87

Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 17 September the Serie C Girone A brings Desenzano Calvina against Lecco. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Desenzano Calvina are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Lecco are 7th (upper half) with 20.

Current form

Desenzano Calvina, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Arzignano Valchiampo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Lecco, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Giana Erminio, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Desenzano Calvina, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Lecco.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Lecco 0–0 Desenzano Calvina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Desenzano Calvina 0.6 xG, Lecco 0.5 xG – a total near 1.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 89%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Desenzano Calvina 43%, draw 24%, Lecco 33%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Desenzano Calvina 0–0 Lecco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Desenzano Calvina43%fair 2.35 · @2.30

Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.90

Lecco33%fair 3.00 · @2.80

1.13Expected goals

0.64Desenzano Calvina xG

0.49Lecco xG

47%Both score

11%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–032%

1–021%

0–116%

1–110%

2–07%

0–24%

From our goals model: Desenzano Calvina 0.6 – 0.5 Lecco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Desenzano Calvina to win ✗	43%	2.35	2.30
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.35
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	53%	1.90	1.85
Draw no bet	Desenzano Calvina (draw no bet) ✗	56%	1.79	–
Asian handicap	Lecco +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Under 1.5 goals ✗	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	89%	1.12	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	97%	1.03	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	99%	1.01	–
First team to score	Desenzano Calvina to score first ✗	38%	2.63	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	65%	1.55	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	38%	2.65	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	21%	4.87	–

Desenzano Calvina – last 6

WLWDDD

13 Sep	@ Arzignano Valchiampo	2–1	W
6 Sep	@ Union Brescia	0–1	L
3 Sep	@ Trento	1–0	W
31 Aug	vs Trento	0–0	D
23 Aug	@ PRO Vercelli	1–1	D
16 Aug	@ Lecco	0–0	D

0.7Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Lecco – last 6

WLLDDL

13 Sep	vs Giana Erminio	1–0	W
7 Sep	@ Trento	0–1	L
31 Aug	@ Treviso	0–1	L
22 Aug	vs Arzignano Valchiampo	0–0	D
16 Aug	vs Desenzano Calvina	0–0	D
8 Aug	vs Atalanta II	2–3	L

0.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	13	10	1	2	+13	31
2	Union Brescia	13	8	4	1	+15	28
3	Trento	13	7	6	0	+12	27
4	Ospitaletto	13	6	4	3	+8	22
5	Treviso	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Arzignano Valchiampo	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	Lecco	13	5	5	3	+11	20
8	Alcione	13	4	6	3	+2	18
9	Albinoleffe	13	4	5	4	+1	17
10	Pergolettese	13	4	5	4	-1	17
11	Lumezzane	13	4	4	5	-3	16
12	PRO Vercelli	13	4	4	5	-7	16
13	Desenzano Calvina	13	3	4	6	-5	13
14	Novara	13	3	4	6	-7	13
15	Athletic Carpi	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Giana Erminio	13	2	6	5	-4	12
17	Renate	13	2	5	6	-1	11
18	Juventus U23	13	2	5	6	-11	11
19	Dolomiti Bellunesi	13	2	4	7	-12	10
20	Folgore Caratese	13	1	5	7	-10	8

Team

Pts

+13

+15

+12

+11

-1

-3

-7

-5

-7

-10

-4

-1

-11

-12

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco?

On our numbers Desenzano Calvina have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lecco 33%.

How many goals will there be in Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco?

We expect about 1.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 11% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco?

Our predicted score is Desenzano Calvina 0–0 Lecco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.1 goals in total.

When is Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco?

Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Desenzano Calvina v Lecco: numbers & prediction