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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lumezzane v Novara: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone A · Italy · Tullio Saleri

Lumezzane

DLWLD
0–0
FT

Novara

LWDDL
Lumezzane 38%Draw 25%Novara 37% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.17
52%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.93 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultLumezzane to win ✗38% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.65

Lumezzane vs Novara: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 17 September the Serie C Girone A brings Lumezzane against Novara at Tullio Saleri. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Lumezzane are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Novara are 14th (lower half) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Lumezzane, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Renate, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Novara, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Pergolettese, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Novara 1–3 Lumezzane.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lumezzane 1.2 xG, Novara 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lumezzane 38%, draw 25%, Novara 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lumezzane 1–1 Novara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lumezzane38%fair 2.60 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.80
Novara37%fair 2.72 · @2.60
2.38Expected goals
1.21Lumezzane xG
1.17Novara xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Lumezzane 1.2 – 1.2 Novara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLumezzane to win ✗38%2.602.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.931.83
Draw no betLumezzane (draw no bet)51%1.96–
Asian handicapNovara +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.74–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreLumezzane to score first ✗46%2.17–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lumezzane / FT Lumezzane ✗21%4.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.65–

Recent results

Lumezzane – last 6

DLWLDD
13 Sepvs Renate2–2D
6 Sep@ Cittadella1–2L
30 Augvs Giana Erminio1–0W
22 Aug@ Ospitaletto0–2L
15 Augvs Renate2–2D
1 Aug@ Cremonese0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Novara – last 6

LWDDLW
13 Sepvs Pergolettese0–1L
7 Sep@ Renate2–1W
3 Sepvs Livorno0–0D
31 Augvs Folgore Caratese2–2D
22 Aug@ Juventus U230–1L
16 Aug@ Alcione1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Novara v Lumezzane1–3
Lumezzane vs Novara head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cittadella131012+1331
2Union Brescia13841+1528
3Trento13760+1227
4Ospitaletto13643+822
5Treviso13643+522
6Arzignano Valchiampo13634+421
7Lecco13553+1120
8Alcione13463+218
9Albinoleffe13454+117
10Pergolettese13454-117
11Lumezzane13445-316
12PRO Vercelli13445-716
13Desenzano Calvina13346-513
14Novara13346-713
15Athletic Carpi13346-1013
16Giana Erminio13265-412
17Renate13256-111
18Juventus U2313256-1111
19Dolomiti Bellunesi13247-1210
20Folgore Caratese13157-108

More Serie C Girone A predictions

League hub
FT Albinoleffe1 Arzignano Valchiampo2 141%2.30X25%2.80234%2.90 0.9–0.8xG NGNot both teams to score 53%@1.85 ✗
FT Cittadella2 Juventus U230 155%1.85X23%3.10222%3.75 1.5–0.8xG 1XCittadella or draw 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Desenzano Calvina1 Lecco3 143%2.30X24%2.90233%2.80 0.6–0.5xG NGNot both teams to score 53%@1.85 ✗
FT Pergolettese0 Folgore Caratese0 139%2.62X25%2.75236%2.50 1.1–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.95 ✗
FT PRO Vercelli2 Alcione2 141%2.40X25%2.80234%2.88 1.2–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@1.85 ✓
FT Union Brescia2 Treviso2 161%1.53X25%3.30214%6.00 1.4–0.5xG 1Union Brescia to win 61%@1.53 ✗
FT Athletic Carpi2 Ospitaletto2 131%2.75X25%2.80244%2.45 1.4–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.85 ✓
FT Giana Erminio2 Trento2 130%2.88X25%2.80245%2.38 0.6–0.9xG NGNot both teams to score 55%@1.85 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lumezzane vs Novara?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Lumezzane vs Novara?

On our numbers Lumezzane have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Novara 37%.

How many goals will there be in Lumezzane vs Novara?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lumezzane vs Novara?

Our predicted score is Lumezzane 1–1 Novara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Lumezzane vs Novara?

Lumezzane vs Novara (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Tullio Saleri.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.