Value bet: Trento to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTrento to win ✗45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.13
Giana Erminio vs Trento: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Thursday 17 September: Giana Erminio v Trento in the Serie C Girone A, played at Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola. In the table, Giana Erminio are 16th, lower half, on 12 points after 13 matches; Trento are 3rd (among the top four) with 27. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Giana Erminio, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lecco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Trento, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Union Brescia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Trento, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Giana Erminio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Giana Erminio 0.6 xG, Trento 0.9 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Giana Erminio 30%, draw 25%, Trento 45%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Trento to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (55%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Giana Erminio 0–0 Trento. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Giana Erminio30%fair 3.29 · @2.88
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.80
Trento45%fair 2.23 · @2.38
1.50Expected goals
0.63Giana Erminio xG
0.87Trento xG
45%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–022%
0–119%
1–014%
1–112%
0–29%
1–25%
From our goals model: Giana Erminio 0.6 – 0.9 Trento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trento to win✗
45%
2.23
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.85
Draw no bet
Trento (draw no bet)
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Giana Erminio +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Trento to score first
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.13
–
Recent results
Giana Erminio – last 6
LLLLLD
13 Sep
@ Lecco
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Union Brescia
2–5
L
30 Aug
@ Lumezzane
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Albinoleffe
1–2
L
16 Aug
vs Folgore Caratese
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Trento – last 6
DWLDWW
13 Sep
vs Union Brescia
0–0
D
7 Sep
vs Lecco
1–0
W
3 Sep
vs Desenzano Calvina
0–1
L
31 Aug
@ Desenzano Calvina
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Treviso
2–1
W
14 Aug
vs Ospitaletto
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Giana Erminio and Trento.
What is the prediction for Giana Erminio vs Trento?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Giana Erminio vs Trento?
On our numbers Giana Erminio have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Trento 45%.
How many goals will there be in Giana Erminio vs Trento?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Giana Erminio vs Trento?
Our predicted score is Giana Erminio 0–0 Trento, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Giana Erminio vs Trento?
Giana Erminio vs Trento (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
