Pergolettese v Folgore Caratese Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPergolettese to win ✗39% · @2.62

Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.55

Pergolettese vs Folgore Caratese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Folgore Caratese travel to face Pergolettese on Thursday 17 September in the Serie C Girone A, with Giuseppe Voltini the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Pergolettese are 10th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Folgore Caratese are 20th (in the drop zone) with 8.

Current form

Pergolettese, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Novara, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Folgore Caratese, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Alcione, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Pergolettese, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Folgore Caratese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pergolettese 1.1 xG, Folgore Caratese 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Pergolettese 39%, draw 25%, Folgore Caratese 36%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pergolettese 1–1 Folgore Caratese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pergolettese39%fair 2.55 · @2.62

Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.75

Folgore Caratese36%fair 2.77 · @2.50

2.13Expected goals

1.10Pergolettese xG

1.03Folgore Caratese xG

54%Both score

36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–013%

0–112%

0–012%

2–17%

2–07%

From our goals model: Pergolettese 1.1 – 1.0 Folgore Caratese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Pergolettese to win ✗	39%	2.55	2.62
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	75%	1.33	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	54%	1.84	1.95 ▲
Draw no bet	Pergolettese (draw no bet)	52%	1.92	–
Asian handicap	Folgore Caratese +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.07	–
First team to score	Pergolettese to score first ✗	45%	2.21	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	48%	2.07	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Pergolettese / FT Pergolettese ✗	21%	4.86	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	7%	13.55	–

Pergolettese – last 6

WDLLDD

13 Sep	@ Novara	1–0	W
6 Sep	@ Juventus U23	0–0	D
30 Aug	vs Union Brescia	0–1	L
22 Aug	@ Cittadella	0–2	L
14 Aug	@ PRO Vercelli	1–1	D
9 Aug	vs Inter U23	0–0	D

0.3Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Folgore Caratese – last 6

LLDLDD

13 Sep	vs Alcione	2–3	L
7 Sep	@ PRO Vercelli	0–1	L
31 Aug	@ Novara	2–2	D
24 Aug	vs Dolomiti Bellunesi	1–2	L
16 Aug	@ Giana Erminio	1–1	D
31 Jul	@ Sassuolo	0–0	D

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	13	10	1	2	+13	31
2	Union Brescia	13	8	4	1	+15	28
3	Trento	13	7	6	0	+12	27
4	Ospitaletto	13	6	4	3	+8	22
5	Treviso	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Arzignano Valchiampo	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	Lecco	13	5	5	3	+11	20
8	Alcione	13	4	6	3	+2	18
9	Albinoleffe	13	4	5	4	+1	17
10	Pergolettese	13	4	5	4	-1	17
11	Lumezzane	13	4	4	5	-3	16
12	PRO Vercelli	13	4	4	5	-7	16
13	Desenzano Calvina	13	3	4	6	-5	13
14	Novara	13	3	4	6	-7	13
15	Athletic Carpi	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Giana Erminio	13	2	6	5	-4	12
17	Renate	13	2	5	6	-1	11
18	Juventus U23	13	2	5	6	-11	11
19	Dolomiti Bellunesi	13	2	4	7	-12	10
20	Folgore Caratese	13	1	5	7	-10	8

Team

Pts

+13

+15

+12

+11

-1

-3

-7

-5

-7

-10

-4

-1

-11

-12

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pergolettese vs Folgore Caratese?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Pergolettese vs Folgore Caratese?

On our numbers Pergolettese have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Folgore Caratese 36%.

How many goals will there be in Pergolettese vs Folgore Caratese?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pergolettese vs Folgore Caratese?

Our predicted score is Pergolettese 1–1 Folgore Caratese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Pergolettese vs Folgore Caratese?

Pergolettese vs Folgore Caratese (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Voltini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Pergolettese v Folgore Caratese: numbers & prediction