Value bet: Novara to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultArzignano Valchiampo to win ✓38% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.49
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Serie C Girone A brings Arzignano Valchiampo against Novara at Tommaso Dal Molin. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Arzignano Valchiampo are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Novara are 14th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Arzignano Valchiampo, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cittadella, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Novara, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Albinoleffe, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arzignano Valchiampo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Novara.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Arzignano Valchiampo 1–1 Novara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arzignano Valchiampo 1.2 xG, Novara 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arzignano Valchiampo 38%, draw 25%, Novara 37%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Novara to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arzignano Valchiampo 1–1 Novara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arzignano Valchiampo38%fair 2.62 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
Novara37%fair 2.70 · @2.88
2.45Expected goals
1.24Arzignano Valchiampo xG
1.21Novara xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Arzignano Valchiampo 1.2 – 1.2 Novara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arzignano Valchiampo to win✓
38%
2.62
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.91
Draw no bet
Arzignano Valchiampo (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Novara +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Arzignano Valchiampo to score first✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arzignano Valchiampo / FT Arzignano Valchiampo✓
What is the prediction for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
On our numbers Arzignano Valchiampo have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Novara 37%.
How many goals will there be in Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
Our predicted score is Arzignano Valchiampo 1–1 Novara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Tommaso Dal Molin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
