Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Albinoleffe to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlbinoleffe to win ✗39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Renate vs Albinoleffe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Renate v Albinoleffe in the Serie C Girone A, played at Mino Favini. In the table, Renate are 17th, lower half, on 11 points after 13 matches; Albinoleffe are 9th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Renate, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Juventus U23, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Albinoleffe, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Novara, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Albinoleffe, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Renate.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Renate 1.4 xG, Albinoleffe 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Renate 37%, draw 24%, Albinoleffe 39%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Albinoleffe to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Renate 1–1 Albinoleffe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Renate37%fair 2.68 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.90
Albinoleffe39%fair 2.59 · @3.00
2.80Expected goals
1.39Renate xG
1.41Albinoleffe xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–08%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Renate 1.4 – 1.4 Albinoleffe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albinoleffe to win✗
39%
2.59
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.70
Draw no bet
Albinoleffe (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Renate +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Albinoleffe to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albinoleffe / FT Albinoleffe✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.87
–
Recent results
Renate – last 6
LDDLLD
19 Oct
@ Juventus U23
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Giana Erminio
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Ospitaletto
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Treviso
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
1–2
L
17 Sep
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Albinoleffe – last 6
DLWDWL
18 Oct
vs Novara
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Lumezzane
2–3
L
3 Oct
@ Cittadella
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Alcione
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Juventus U23
5–3
W
17 Sep
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Renate and Albinoleffe.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Renate vs Albinoleffe?
On our numbers Renate have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Albinoleffe 39%.
How many goals will there be in Renate vs Albinoleffe?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Renate vs Albinoleffe?
Our predicted score is Renate 1–1 Albinoleffe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Renate vs Albinoleffe?
Renate vs Albinoleffe (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Mino Favini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
