Desenzano Calvina v Giana Erminio Prediction & Expected Goals (25 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDesenzano Calvina to win ✗43% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.80

Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Giana Erminio travel to face Desenzano Calvina on Sunday 25 October in the Serie C Girone A, with Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Desenzano Calvina are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Giana Erminio are 16th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Desenzano Calvina, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Alcione, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Giana Erminio, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Union Brescia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Desenzano Calvina 1.2 xG, Giana Erminio 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Desenzano Calvina 43%, draw 23%, Giana Erminio 34%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Desenzano Calvina 1–1 Giana Erminio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Desenzano Calvina43%fair 2.30 · @2.10

Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.10

Giana Erminio34%fair 2.95 · @2.90

2.15Expected goals

1.17Desenzano Calvina xG

0.98Giana Erminio xG

55%Both score

36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

1–113%

0–012%

0–111%

2–08%

2–18%

From our goals model: Desenzano Calvina 1.2 – 1.0 Giana Erminio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Desenzano Calvina to win ✗	43%	2.30	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.29	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.82	1.70
Draw no bet	Desenzano Calvina (draw no bet) ✗	56%	1.78	–
Asian handicap	Giana Erminio +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	83%	1.21	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.07	–
First team to score	Desenzano Calvina to score first ✗	48%	2.08	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	48%	2.09	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Desenzano Calvina / FT Desenzano Calvina ✗	23%	4.39	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.80	–

Desenzano Calvina – last 6

LWWDDL

18 Oct	@ Alcione	1–4	L
10 Oct	vs Dolomiti Bellunesi	2–0	W
3 Oct	@ Folgore Caratese	2–1	W
26 Sep	vs Juventus U23	0–0	D
21 Sep	@ Treviso	0–0	D
17 Sep	vs Lecco	1–3	L

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Giana Erminio – last 6

WDDDDD

19 Oct	vs Union Brescia	2–1	W
11 Oct	@ Renate	2–2	D
4 Oct	@ Treviso	0–0	D
26 Sep	vs PRO Vercelli	1–1	D
20 Sep	@ Folgore Caratese	1–1	D
17 Sep	vs Trento	2–2	D

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	13	10	1	2	+13	31
2	Union Brescia	13	8	4	1	+15	28
3	Trento	13	7	6	0	+12	27
4	Ospitaletto	13	6	4	3	+8	22
5	Treviso	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Arzignano Valchiampo	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	Lecco	13	5	5	3	+11	20
8	Alcione	13	4	6	3	+2	18
9	Albinoleffe	13	4	5	4	+1	17
10	Pergolettese	13	4	5	4	-1	17
11	Lumezzane	13	4	4	5	-3	16
12	PRO Vercelli	13	4	4	5	-7	16
13	Desenzano Calvina	13	3	4	6	-5	13
14	Novara	13	3	4	6	-7	13
15	Athletic Carpi	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Giana Erminio	13	2	6	5	-4	12
17	Renate	13	2	5	6	-1	11
18	Juventus U23	13	2	5	6	-11	11
19	Dolomiti Bellunesi	13	2	4	7	-12	10
20	Folgore Caratese	13	1	5	7	-10	8

Team

Pts

+13

+15

+12

+11

-1

-3

-7

-5

-7

-10

-4

-1

-11

-12

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio?

On our numbers Desenzano Calvina have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Giana Erminio 34%.

How many goals will there be in Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio?

Our predicted score is Desenzano Calvina 1–1 Giana Erminio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio?

Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Desenzano Calvina v Giana Erminio: numbers & prediction