Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Lecco to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLecco to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceLecco or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.29
Lecco vs Folgore Caratese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lecco welcome Folgore Caratese to Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi for a Serie C Girone A fixture on Sunday 25 October (17:30 WAT). In the table, Lecco are 7th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Folgore Caratese are 20th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lecco, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over PRO Vercelli, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Folgore Caratese, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Treviso, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lecco, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Folgore Caratese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lecco 1.6 xG, Folgore Caratese 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lecco 59%, draw 23%, Folgore Caratese 18%.
Lower-risk option: Lecco or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Lecco to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lecco or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lecco 1–0 Folgore Caratese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lecco59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @2.90
Folgore Caratese18%fair 5.61 · @3.75
2.25Expected goals
1.55Lecco xG
0.70Folgore Caratese xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lecco 1.6 – 0.7 Folgore Caratese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lecco to win✗
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Lecco or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.91
Draw no bet
Lecco (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Folgore Caratese +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Lecco to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lecco / FT Lecco✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.29
–
Recent results
Lecco – last 6
WDDLDW
16 Oct
@ PRO Vercelli
5–0
W
11 Oct
vs Alcione
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Union Brescia
2–2
D
26 Sep
@ Cittadella
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Pergolettese
0–0
D
17 Sep
@ Desenzano Calvina
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Folgore Caratese – last 6
LLLWDD
17 Oct
vs Treviso
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Trento
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Desenzano Calvina
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Lumezzane
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Giana Erminio
1–1
D
17 Sep
@ Pergolettese
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lecco and Folgore Caratese.
What is the prediction for Lecco vs Folgore Caratese?
Our pick is Lecco or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lecco vs Folgore Caratese?
On our numbers Lecco have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Folgore Caratese 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lecco vs Folgore Caratese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecco vs Folgore Caratese?
Our predicted score is Lecco 1–0 Folgore Caratese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lecco vs Folgore Caratese?
Lecco vs Folgore Caratese (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
