Pergolettese v Lumezzane Prediction & Expected Goals (25 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPergolettese to win ✓41% · @2.45

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓7% · fair 13.51

Pergolettese vs Lumezzane: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lumezzane travel to face Pergolettese on Sunday 25 October in the Serie C Girone A, with Giuseppe Voltini the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Pergolettese are 10th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Lumezzane are 11th (lower half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Pergolettese, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Ospitaletto, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Lumezzane, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Athletic Carpi, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pergolettese 1.1 xG, Lumezzane 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Pergolettese 41%, draw 25%, Lumezzane 34%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pergolettese 1–1 Lumezzane. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pergolettese41%fair 2.41 · @2.45

Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.75

Lumezzane34%fair 2.97 · @2.75

2.05Expected goals

1.10Pergolettese xG

0.95Lumezzane xG

53%Both score

34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

1–113%

0–013%

0–112%

2–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: Pergolettese 1.1 – 0.9 Lumezzane expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Pergolettese to win ✓	41%	2.41	2.45
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	53%	1.89	1.85
Draw no bet	Pergolettese (draw no bet) ✓	55%	1.81	–
Asian handicap	Lumezzane +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	94%	1.06	–
First team to score	Pergolettese to score first ✗	47%	2.14	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	49%	2.03	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Pergolettese / FT Pergolettese ✗	22%	4.59	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	7%	13.51	–

Pergolettese – last 6

WWDDDD

18 Oct	@ Ospitaletto	3–2	W
10 Oct	vs Athletic Carpi	2–1	W
3 Oct	@ Arzignano Valchiampo	2–2	D
26 Sep	vs Trento	0–0	D
20 Sep	@ Lecco	0–0	D
17 Sep	vs Folgore Caratese	0–0	D

1.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Lumezzane – last 6

LDWLWD

17 Oct	@ Athletic Carpi	1–3	L
13 Oct	@ Juventus U23	0–0	D
10 Oct	vs Albinoleffe	3–2	W
26 Sep	vs Folgore Caratese	1–2	L
21 Sep	@ Dolomiti Bellunesi	2–1	W
17 Sep	vs Novara	0–0	D

1.2Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	13	10	1	2	+13	31
2	Union Brescia	13	8	4	1	+15	28
3	Trento	13	7	6	0	+12	27
4	Ospitaletto	13	6	4	3	+8	22
5	Treviso	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Arzignano Valchiampo	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	Lecco	13	5	5	3	+11	20
8	Alcione	13	4	6	3	+2	18
9	Albinoleffe	13	4	5	4	+1	17
10	Pergolettese	13	4	5	4	-1	17
11	Lumezzane	13	4	4	5	-3	16
12	PRO Vercelli	13	4	4	5	-7	16
13	Desenzano Calvina	13	3	4	6	-5	13
14	Novara	13	3	4	6	-7	13
15	Athletic Carpi	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Giana Erminio	13	2	6	5	-4	12
17	Renate	13	2	5	6	-1	11
18	Juventus U23	13	2	5	6	-11	11
19	Dolomiti Bellunesi	13	2	4	7	-12	10
20	Folgore Caratese	13	1	5	7	-10	8

Team

Pts

+13

+15

+12

+11

-1

-3

-7

-5

-7

-10

-4

-1

-11

-12

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pergolettese vs Lumezzane?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Pergolettese vs Lumezzane?

On our numbers Pergolettese have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lumezzane 34%.

How many goals will there be in Pergolettese vs Lumezzane?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pergolettese vs Lumezzane?

Our predicted score is Pergolettese 1–1 Lumezzane, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Pergolettese vs Lumezzane?

Pergolettese vs Lumezzane (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Voltini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Pergolettese v Lumezzane: numbers & prediction