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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vis Pesaro v Reggiana: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone B · Italy · Tonino Benelli
1–4
FT
Vis Pesaro 17%Draw 25%Reggiana 57% Expected goals 0.98 – 1.90
83%
Betarazi pick

Reggiana or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Reggiana to win @ 1.85 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultReggiana to win ✓57% · @1.85
Double chanceReggiana or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Wednesday 16 September: Vis Pesaro v Reggiana in the Serie C Girone B, played at Tonino Benelli. In the table, Vis Pesaro are 20th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 13 matches; Reggiana are 6th (upper half) with 20. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Vis Pesaro, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Forli, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Reggiana, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Guidonia Montecelio 1937, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Reggiana, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Vis Pesaro.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vis Pesaro 1.0 xG, Reggiana 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vis Pesaro 17%, draw 25%, Reggiana 57%.
  • Lower-risk option: Reggiana or draw (83%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Reggiana to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Reggiana or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vis Pesaro 0–1 Reggiana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vis Pesaro17%fair 5.83 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.25
Reggiana57%fair 1.74 · @1.85
2.88Expected goals
0.98Vis Pesaro xG
1.90Reggiana xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%

From our goals model: Vis Pesaro 1.0 – 1.9 Reggiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReggiana to win ✓57%1.741.85 ▲
Double chanceReggiana or draw ✓83%1.211.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.65
Draw no betReggiana (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapVis Pesaro +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.20–
First team to scoreReggiana to score first ✓62%1.60–
Half-time resultReggiana ahead at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Reggiana / FT Reggiana ✓37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

Vis Pesaro – last 6

LLLDLW
12 Sep@ Forli1–2L
5 Sepvs Ostia Mare1–2L
2 Sep@ Gubbio0–5L
30 Augvs Perugia2–2D
22 Aug@ Pescara0–2L
15 Aug@ Perugia2–1W
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Reggiana – last 6

DWWDLW
12 Sep@ Guidonia Montecelio 19371–1D
6 Sepvs Vado3–1W
30 Aug@ Gubbio2–1W
24 Augvs Ravenna1–1D
15 Aug@ Livorno1–3L
8 Mayvs Sampdoria1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vis Pesaro and Reggiana.

Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spezia131120+1935
2Ravenna13922+1729
3Grosseto13652+823
4Pescara13643+422
5Torres13643+322
6Reggiana13625+420
7Guidonia Montecelio 193713553+320
8Livorno13553+120
9Campobasso FC13544-219
10Atalanta II13607-318
11Pineto13454-217
12Perugia13526-317
13Vado13445-116
14Forli13364-115
15Latina13364-215
16Pianese13274-313
17Sambenedettese13247-510
18Ostia Mare13238-99
19Gubbio13229-128
20Vis Pesaro131210-165

More Serie C Girone B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana?

Our pick is Reggiana or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana?

On our numbers Vis Pesaro have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Reggiana 57%.

How many goals will there be in Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana?

Our predicted score is Vis Pesaro 0–1 Reggiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana?

Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Tonino Benelli.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.