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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lumezzane v Renate: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Tullio Saleri

Lumezzane

DLWDW
2–2
FTPens 3–5

Renate

LDWDD
Lumezzane 40%Draw 25%Renate 35% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.10
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLumezzane to win ✗40% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.66

Lumezzane vs Renate: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Renate travel to face Lumezzane on Saturday 15 August in the Coppa Italia Serie C, with Tullio Saleri the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Lumezzane, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cremonese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Renate, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Casarano, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lumezzane 1.2 xG, Renate 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lumezzane 40%, draw 25%, Renate 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lumezzane 1–1 Renate. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lumezzane40%fair 2.49 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @2.88
Renate35%fair 2.83 · @2.70
2.29Expected goals
1.19Lumezzane xG
1.10Renate xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Lumezzane 1.2 – 1.1 Renate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLumezzane to win ✗40%2.492.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.802.00 ▲
Draw no betLumezzane (draw no bet)53%1.88–
Asian handicapRenate +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.511.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.671.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.261.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.06
First team to scoreLumezzane to score first47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lumezzane / FT Lumezzane ✗22%4.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.66–

Recent results

Lumezzane – last 6

DLWDWL
1 Aug@ Cremonese0–0D
6 May@ Cittadella0–1L
3 Apr@ Novara3–1W
28 Marvs Albinoleffe1–1D
15 Marvs Pro Patria1–0W
3 Marvs Arzignano Valchiampo0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Renate – last 6

LDWDDW
13 Mayvs Casarano0–3L
19 Apr@ Trento3–3D
13 Aprvs PRO Vercelli2–1W
3 Apr@ Arzignano Valchiampo0–0D
15 Mar@ Virtus Verona2–2D
3 Mar@ Lecco3–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lumezzane and Renate.

Lumezzane vs Renate head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie C predictions

League hub
FT Arzignano Valchiampo2 Albinoleffe1 136%2.30X23%3.00240%2.88 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Campobasso FC2 Cavese0 146%2.00X23%3.00231%3.60 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Athletic Carpi3 Pianese2 139%2.20X23%3.00237%3.10 1.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗
FT Cittadella2 Atalanta II2 Pens 4–3 128%2.15X53%3.00219%3.20 1.2–1.0xG 1XCittadella or draw 81%@1.28 ✓
FT Livorno3 Reggiana1 123%3.40X22%3.25255%1.95 0.9–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✗
FT Perugia1 Vis Pesaro2 143%2.15X23%3.00234%3.20 1.2–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Salernitana1 Scafatese2 166%1.62X23%3.50211%4.75 1.9–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lumezzane vs Renate?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Lumezzane vs Renate?

On our numbers Lumezzane have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Renate 35%.

How many goals will there be in Lumezzane vs Renate?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lumezzane vs Renate?

Our predicted score is Lumezzane 1–1 Renate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Lumezzane vs Renate?

Lumezzane vs Renate (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tullio Saleri.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.