Wednesday 11 November 2026 15 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Athletic Carpi v Pianese: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Stadio Sandro Cabassi

Athletic Carpi

WWWDL
3–2
FT

Pianese

DWWLD
Athletic Carpi 39%Draw 23%Pianese 37% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.12
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Pianese to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAthletic Carpi to win ✓39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.94

Athletic Carpi vs Pianese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pianese travel to face Athletic Carpi on Saturday 15 August in the Coppa Italia Serie C, with Stadio Sandro Cabassi the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Athletic Carpi, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mantova, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Pianese, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lecco, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Athletic Carpi 1.2 xG, Pianese 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Athletic Carpi 39%, draw 23%, Pianese 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Pianese to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athletic Carpi 1–1 Pianese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Athletic Carpi39%fair 2.54 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Pianese37%fair 2.68 · @3.10
2.29Expected goals
1.16Athletic Carpi xG
1.12Pianese xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Athletic Carpi 1.2 – 1.1 Pianese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAthletic Carpi to win ✓39%2.542.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.842.00 ▲
Draw no betAthletic Carpi (draw no bet) ✓51%1.95–
Asian handicapPianese +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.531.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.671.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.261.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗90%1.111.06
First team to scoreAthletic Carpi to score first ✗46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Athletic Carpi / FT Athletic Carpi ✗21%4.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.94–

Recent results

Athletic Carpi – last 6

WWWDLW
9 Aug@ Mantova1–0W
26 Apr@ Guidonia Montecelio 19373–2W
3 Aprvs Pontedera2–0W
8 Marvs Torres1–1D
4 Mar@ Gubbio1–2L
22 Febvs Bra2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Pianese – last 6

DWWLDW
13 May@ Lecco1–1D
6 May@ Juventus U232–0W
26 Apr@ Ternana3–1W
4 Aprvs Campobasso FC0–2L
29 Mar@ Forli0–0D
8 Marvs Pineto1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Athletic Carpi and Pianese.

Athletic Carpi vs Pianese head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie C predictions

League hub
FT Arzignano Valchiampo2 Albinoleffe1 136%2.30X23%3.00240%2.88 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Lumezzane2 Renate2 Pens 3–5 140%2.55X25%2.88235%2.70 1.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗
FT Campobasso FC2 Cavese0 146%2.00X23%3.00231%3.60 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Cittadella2 Atalanta II2 Pens 4–3 128%2.15X53%3.00219%3.20 1.2–1.0xG 1XCittadella or draw 81%@1.28 ✓
FT Livorno3 Reggiana1 123%3.40X22%3.25255%1.95 0.9–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✗
FT Perugia1 Vis Pesaro2 143%2.15X23%3.00234%3.20 1.2–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Salernitana1 Scafatese2 166%1.62X23%3.50211%4.75 1.9–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Athletic Carpi vs Pianese?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Athletic Carpi vs Pianese?

On our numbers Athletic Carpi have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pianese 37%.

How many goals will there be in Athletic Carpi vs Pianese?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Athletic Carpi vs Pianese?

Our predicted score is Athletic Carpi 1–1 Pianese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Athletic Carpi vs Pianese?

Athletic Carpi vs Pianese (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Sandro Cabassi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.