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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Livorno v Reggiana: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Stadio Armando Picchi

Livorno

DWWWD
3–1
FT

Reggiana

WLLDL
Livorno 23%Draw 22%Reggiana 55% Expected goals 0.94 – 1.63
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Reggiana to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultReggiana to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.46

Livorno vs Reggiana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Reggiana travel to face Livorno on Saturday 15 August in the Coppa Italia Serie C, with Stadio Armando Picchi the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Livorno, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Empoli, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Reggiana, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sampdoria, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Livorno, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Reggiana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Livorno 0.9 xG, Reggiana 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Livorno 23%, draw 22%, Reggiana 55%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Reggiana to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Livorno 0–1 Reggiana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Livorno23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.25
Reggiana55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
2.57Expected goals
0.94Livorno xG
1.63Reggiana xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%

From our goals model: Livorno 0.9 – 1.6 Reggiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReggiana to win ✗55%1.821.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.951.83
Draw no betReggiana (draw no bet) ✗71%1.42–
Asian handicapLivorno +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.361.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.10
First team to scoreReggiana to score first59%1.71–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Reggiana / FT Reggiana ✗33%3.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.46–

Recent results

Livorno – last 6

DWWWDL
8 Augvs Empoli1–1D
1 Augvs Cittadella Vis Modena2–1W
26 Apr@ Pontedera2–0W
3 Aprvs Gubbio3–0W
8 Mar@ Forli1–1D
4 Marvs Perugia1–2L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Reggiana – last 6

WLLDLD
8 Mayvs Sampdoria1–0W
1 May@ Modena1–2L
6 Aprvs Pescara1–3L
17 Marvs Monza0–0D
3 Marvs Sudtirol0–4L
22 Febvs Avellino1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Livorno and Reggiana.

Livorno vs Reggiana head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie C predictions

League hub
FT Arzignano Valchiampo2 Albinoleffe1 136%2.30X23%3.00240%2.88 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Lumezzane2 Renate2 Pens 3–5 140%2.55X25%2.88235%2.70 1.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗
FT Campobasso FC2 Cavese0 146%2.00X23%3.00231%3.60 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Athletic Carpi3 Pianese2 139%2.20X23%3.00237%3.10 1.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗
FT Cittadella2 Atalanta II2 Pens 4–3 128%2.15X53%3.00219%3.20 1.2–1.0xG 1XCittadella or draw 81%@1.28 ✓
FT Perugia1 Vis Pesaro2 143%2.15X23%3.00234%3.20 1.2–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Salernitana1 Scafatese2 166%1.62X23%3.50211%4.75 1.9–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Livorno vs Reggiana?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Livorno vs Reggiana?

On our numbers Livorno have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Reggiana 55%.

How many goals will there be in Livorno vs Reggiana?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Livorno vs Reggiana?

Our predicted score is Livorno 0–1 Reggiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Livorno vs Reggiana?

Livorno vs Reggiana (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Armando Picchi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.