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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cittadella v Atalanta II: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato

Cittadella

WLDWD
2–2
FTPens 4–3

Atalanta II

WWDDW
Cittadella 28%Draw 53%Atalanta II 19% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.05
81%
Betarazi pick

Cittadella or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.28Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.00 – our chance 53% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +59%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✓53% · @3.00
Double chanceCittadella or draw ✓81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.58

Cittadella vs Atalanta II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cittadella welcome Atalanta II to Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato for a Coppa Italia Serie C fixture on Saturday 15 August (20:00 WAT).

Current form

Cittadella, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Luparense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Atalanta II, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Lecco, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cittadella 1.2 xG, Atalanta II 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cittadella 28%, draw 53%, Atalanta II 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Cittadella or draw (81%) at 1.28.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Cittadella or draw (81%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.23, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cittadella 1–1 Atalanta II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cittadella28%fair 3.55 · @2.15
Draw53%fair 1.88 · @3.00
Atalanta II19%fair 5.35 · @3.20
2.29Expected goals
1.24Cittadella xG
1.05Atalanta II xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Cittadella 1.2 – 1.0 Atalanta II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✓53%1.883.00 ▲
Double chanceCittadella or draw ✓81%1.231.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.832.00 ▲
Draw no betCittadella (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapAtalanta II +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.531.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.671.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.261.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.06
First team to scoreCittadella to score first49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cittadella / FT Cittadella ✗23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13%7.58–

Recent results

Cittadella – last 6

WLDWDW
8 Augvs Luparense1–0W
1 Augvs Padova0–2L
29 Jul@ Cremonese1–1D
25 Jul@ Torino1–0W
13 May@ Ravenna1–1D
6 Mayvs Lumezzane1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Atalanta II – last 6

WWDDWD
8 Aug@ Lecco3–2W
12 Aprvs SS Monopoli2–0W
8 Aprvs Cavese1–1D
4 Apr@ Siracusa3–3D
9 Marvs Audace Cerignola3–2W
5 Mar@ AZ Picerno1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cittadella and Atalanta II.

Cittadella vs Atalanta II head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie C predictions

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FT Arzignano Valchiampo2 Albinoleffe1 136%2.30X23%3.00240%2.88 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Lumezzane2 Renate2 Pens 3–5 140%2.55X25%2.88235%2.70 1.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗
FT Campobasso FC2 Cavese0 146%2.00X23%3.00231%3.60 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Athletic Carpi3 Pianese2 139%2.20X23%3.00237%3.10 1.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗
FT Livorno3 Reggiana1 123%3.40X22%3.25255%1.95 0.9–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✗
FT Perugia1 Vis Pesaro2 143%2.15X23%3.00234%3.20 1.2–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Salernitana1 Scafatese2 166%1.62X23%3.50211%4.75 1.9–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cittadella vs Atalanta II?

Our pick is Cittadella or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Cittadella vs Atalanta II?

On our numbers Cittadella have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Atalanta II 19%.

How many goals will there be in Cittadella vs Atalanta II?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cittadella vs Atalanta II?

Our predicted score is Cittadella 1–1 Atalanta II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Cittadella vs Atalanta II?

Cittadella vs Atalanta II (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.